Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket U20
Europe
Lithuania U20HOME · -
61 : 522015.07.10 · 종료
Germany U20AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.1%
VALUE EDGE+69.1%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEB
Lithuania U20Analysis MetricsGermany U20
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+5.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.17
144.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.50
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lithuania U20
W · 60-85L · 50-66
Germany U20
W · 64-53W · 63-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.07.21 | Lithuania U20 | 75 : 70 | Germany U20 |
| 2016.07.19 | Germany U20 | 78 : 77 | Lithuania U20 |
| 2015.07.10 | Lithuania U20 | 61 : 52 | Germany U20 |