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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U20 Europe · EuroBasket U20 - 3rd place
Montenegro U20HOME · -
86 : 772022.07.25 · 종료
Israel U20AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW59 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 70/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEC
Montenegro U20Analysis MetricsIsrael U20
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better +1.67
147.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.17
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

59/100 LOW
Data coverage14.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Montenegro U20
L · 67-63W · 67-89W · 80-78W · 76-72W · 77-70
Israel U20
L · 84-75W · 82-73W · 77-60W · 65-69W · 92-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.25Montenegro U2086 : 77Israel U20