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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U20 Europe · EuroBasket U20 - Semi-finals
Lithuania U20HOME · -
67 : 632022.07.24 · 종료
Montenegro U20AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW56 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 70/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEC
Lithuania U20Analysis MetricsMontenegro U20
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+9.58 Point MarginHigher is better +3.83
149.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

56/100 LOW
Data coverage14.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lithuania U20
W · 79-89W · 75-70W · 108-66L · 71-69L · 65-75
Montenegro U20
W · 67-89W · 80-78W · 76-72W · 77-70L · 83-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.24Lithuania U2067 : 63Montenegro U20