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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U20 Europe
Lithuania U20HOME · -
75 : 702022.07.21 · 종료
Germany U20AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Lithuania U20Analysis MetricsGermany U20
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+9.50 Point MarginHigher is better +10.33
148.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 142.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lithuania U20
W · 108-66L · 71-69L · 65-75L · 55-68W · 64-68
Germany U20
L · 76-72W · 76-69L · 66-65W · 65-74W · 62-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.21Lithuania U2075 : 70Germany U20
2016.07.19Germany U2078 : 77Lithuania U20
2015.07.10Lithuania U2061 : 52Germany U20