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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U20 Europe
Italy U20HOME · -
72 : 882022.07.21 · 종료
Croatia U20AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
Italy U20Analysis MetricsCroatia U20
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+6.50 Point MarginHigher is better +6.08
138.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.08
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U20
W · 89-78W · 67-71W · 43-72L · 70-50W · 81-50
Croatia U20
L · 75-76W · 74-77L · 65-76L · 62-83L · 68-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.21Italy U2072 : 88Croatia U20
2021.07.21Croatia U2071 : 57Italy U20
2015.07.08Croatia U2050 : 53Italy U20