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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U20 Europe
Poland U20HOME · -
83 : 622022.07.17 · 종료
Montenegro U20AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW56 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 70/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEC
Poland U20Analysis MetricsMontenegro U20
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better +6.67
145.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 150.33
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

56/100 LOW
Data coverage14.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Poland U20
W · 87-81L · 86-70W · 82-73L · 79-86L · 87-66
Montenegro U20
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.17Poland U2083 : 62Montenegro U20