Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket U20
Europe
Portugal U20HOME · -
67 : 712022.07.17 · 종료
Italy U20AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEB
Portugal U20Analysis MetricsItaly U20
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.83
133.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
140.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Portugal U20
L · 79-60W · 72-54L · 81-50L · 68-54L · 66-89
Italy U20
W · 43-72L · 70-50W · 81-50L · 71-57W · 66-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.07.17 | Portugal U20 | 67 : 71 | Italy U20 |
| 2021.07.23 | Italy U20 | 81 : 50 | Portugal U20 |