경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Uganda · Regular Season - 4

ExpressHOME · 3.53

1 : 12026.09.18 · 종료

KitaraAWAY · 2.03

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 3 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 1 · 1경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.1%

DRAW26.0%

AWAY30.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +17.9%

VALUE EDGE+17.9%

FAIR ODDS2.32

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 86/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +13.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -1.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -2.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Express분석 지표Kitara

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

0.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.83

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

8.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.5 / 15

예측 분리도5.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승22.9%표본 70경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승36.5%현재 이동 -19.7%

OPEN → NOW4.39 → 3.53배당 업데이트 2026-09-17 23:52:25

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

43.1%

DRAW

26.0%

AWAY

30.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Express

L · 2-0W · 2-0L · 1-0L · 2-0D · 0-0

Kitara

W · 2-0W · 1-2D · 2-2D · 1-1L · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.43

→

CURRENT3.51

-20.80%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.01

→

CURRENT2.85

-5.42%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.80

→

CURRENT2.04

+13.79%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-17 11:32:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 11:42:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 11:52:19	4.33	3.00	1.80
2026-09-17 11:52:20	4.45	3.02	1.79
2026-09-17 12:02:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 12:12:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 12:22:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 12:32:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 12:42:15	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 12:52:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 13:02:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 13:12:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 13:22:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 13:32:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 13:42:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 13:52:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 14:02:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 14:12:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 14:22:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 14:32:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 14:42:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 14:52:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 15:02:17	4.37	3.01	1.79
2026-09-17 15:02:18	4.50	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 15:12:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 15:22:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 15:32:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 15:42:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 15:52:20	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 16:02:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 16:12:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 16:22:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 16:32:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 16:42:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 16:52:19	4.37	3.01	1.79
2026-09-17 16:52:20	4.50	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 17:02:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 17:12:16	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 17:22:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 17:32:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 17:42:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 17:52:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 18:02:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 18:12:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 18:22:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 18:32:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 18:42:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 18:52:19	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 19:02:18	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 19:12:17	4.43	3.01	1.80
2026-09-17 19:22:18	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 19:32:19	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 19:42:18	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 19:52:18	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 20:02:16	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 20:12:16	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 20:22:19	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 20:32:17	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 20:42:18	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 20:52:17	3.47	2.85	2.02
2026-09-17 20:52:18	3.56	2.85	2.08
2026-09-17 21:02:18	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 21:12:16	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 21:22:18	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 21:32:18	3.55	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 21:32:19	3.47	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 21:42:17	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 21:52:20	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 22:02:17	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 22:12:17	3.50	2.85	2.05
2026-09-17 22:22:20	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 22:32:17	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 22:42:19	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 22:52:21	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 23:02:18	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 23:12:22	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 23:22:19	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 23:32:23	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 23:42:23	3.51	2.85	2.04
2026-09-17 23:52:25	3.51	2.85	2.04

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.18	Express	1 : 1	Kitara
2026.05.13	Express	3 : 2	Kitara
2026.01.28	Kitara	1 : 0	Express
2025.05.07	Express	1 : 0	Kitara
2024.12.21	Kitara	7 : 0	Express