경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Uganda · Regular Season - 2

NECHOME · 1.62

3 : 12026.09.01 · 종료

LugaziAWAY · 5.83

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 3 · 1경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 3 · 1경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.8%

DRAW9.0%

AWAY3.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 62.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +32.8%

VALUE EDGE+32.8%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +33.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +0.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H HOME +50.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

NEC분석 지표Lugazi

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.42

0.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지17.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도8.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승60.0%표본 25경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승39.0%현재 이동 +9.5%

OPEN → NOW1.48 → 1.62배당 업데이트 2026-09-01 23:52:45

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

87.8%

DRAW

9.0%

AWAY

3.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

NEC

L · 2-0L · 1-4W · 0-1W · 0-1D · 0-0

Lugazi

L · 0-1D · 0-0D · 0-0L · 0-1W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.48

→

CURRENT1.62

+9.17%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.50

→

CURRENT2.97

-15.10%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.25

→

CURRENT6.16

-1.37%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-01 11:52:53	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:02:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:12:30	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:12:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:22:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:32:30	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:32:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:42:29	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:52:34	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 12:52:35	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:02:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:12:29	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:12:30	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:22:34	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:22:35	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:32:30	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:42:30	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 13:52:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 14:02:32	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 14:12:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 14:22:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 14:32:32	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 14:42:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 14:52:35	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 15:02:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 15:12:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 15:22:35	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 15:32:31	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 15:42:32	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 15:52:36	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 16:02:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 16:12:30	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 16:22:34	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 16:32:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 16:42:32	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 16:52:33	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 17:02:32	1.48	3.50	6.25
2026-09-01 17:12:33	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 17:22:35	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 17:32:31	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 17:42:31	1.59	3.06	6.12
2026-09-01 17:42:32	1.60	3.15	6.40
2026-09-01 17:52:36	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 18:02:31	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 18:12:30	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 18:22:34	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 18:32:31	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 18:42:30	1.58	3.06	6.10
2026-09-01 18:42:31	1.62	3.08	6.21
2026-09-01 18:52:33	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 19:02:32	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 19:12:30	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 19:22:34	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 19:32:30	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 19:42:32	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 19:52:36	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 20:02:32	1.59	3.07	6.14
2026-09-01 20:12:32	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 20:22:35	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 20:32:33	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 20:42:33	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 20:52:35	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 21:02:34	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 21:12:33	1.65	2.98	5.60
2026-09-01 21:12:34	1.60	3.06	6.00
2026-09-01 21:22:37	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 21:32:33	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 21:42:35	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 21:52:39	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 22:02:36	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 22:12:37	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 22:22:37	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 22:32:35	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 22:42:36	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 22:52:37	1.63	3.05	5.66
2026-09-01 22:52:38	1.60	3.04	6.07
2026-09-01 23:02:37	1.61	3.04	5.94
2026-09-01 23:42:36	1.61	3.05	5.96
2026-09-01 23:52:44	1.60	3.15	5.68
2026-09-01 23:52:45	1.62	2.97	6.16

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.01	NEC	3 : 1	Lugazi
2026.03.06	Lugazi	0 : 2	NEC
2026.01.08	NEC	1 : 0	Lugazi
2025.03.02	NEC	2 : 0	Lugazi
2024.10.30	Lugazi	1 : 0	NEC