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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 B Europe · EuroBasket U16 B - Semi-finals
Iceland U16HOME · -
71 : 882023.08.12 · 종료
Luxembourg U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.7%
VALUE EDGE+70.7%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
Iceland U16Analysis MetricsLuxembourg U16
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.75 Point MarginHigher is better +12.25
149.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 138.25
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iceland U16
L · 63-83L · 71-96W · 84-90L · 88-90W · 62-73
Luxembourg U16
L · 71-63L · 44-99W · 56-75L · 77-80L · 80-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.08.12Iceland U1680 : 87Luxembourg U16
2023.08.12Iceland U1671 : 88Luxembourg U16
2022.08.11Luxembourg U1649 : 90Iceland U16