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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 B Europe · EuroBasket U16 B - Quarter-finals
Sweden U16HOME · -
71 : 632023.08.11 · 종료
Luxembourg U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
Sweden U16Analysis MetricsLuxembourg U16
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +12.25
143.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 138.25
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sweden U16
L · 76-66L · 59-95W · 61-68W · 66-57W · 91-71
Luxembourg U16
L · 44-99W · 56-75L · 77-80L · 80-58W · 71-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.11Sweden U1671 : 63Luxembourg U16