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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 B Europe
Portugal U16HOME · -
61 : 682023.08.07 · 종료
Sweden U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
Portugal U16Analysis MetricsSweden U16
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
137.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.42
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Portugal U16
L · 70-59L · 74-79W · 82-52W · 62-72W · 56-66
Sweden U16
W · 66-57W · 91-71L · 92-76L · 88-86W · 69-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.07Portugal U1661 : 68Sweden U16
2022.08.13Sweden U1671 : 69Portugal U16