경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Egypt · Regular Season - 5

El GeishHOME · 2.50

0 : 12026.09.14 · 종료

Smouha SCAWAY · 3.35

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 7 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 19위 승점 1 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.6%

DRAW31.8%

AWAY13.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +18.1%

VALUE EDGE+18.1%

FAIR ODDS1.83

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +37.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +36.1%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +17.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +8.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

El Geish분석 지표Smouha SC

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

0.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.67

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.4 / 15

예측 분리도9.8 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME36.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승33.3%표본 6경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.6%현재 이동 -7.7%

OPEN → NOW2.71 → 2.50배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

54.6%

DRAW

31.8%

AWAY

13.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

El Geish

D · 1-1L · 0-1W · 2-3W · 1-0L · 0-2

Smouha SC

L · 0-2L · 1-0D · 0-0L · 1-0L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.61

→

CURRENT2.53

-3.16%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.46

→

CURRENT2.51

+1.88%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.27

→

CURRENT3.27

-0.02%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 12:33:35	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 12:42:21	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 12:52:39	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 13:02:46	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 13:12:33	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 13:22:58	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 13:33:05	2.60	2.46	3.25
2026-09-14 13:33:06	2.65	2.45	3.40
2026-09-14 13:42:22	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 13:52:39	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 14:02:45	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 14:12:23	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 14:22:45	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 14:32:58	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 14:42:41	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 14:53:04	2.61	2.48	3.22
2026-09-14 14:53:05	2.62	2.42	3.41
2026-09-14 15:03:06	2.59	2.46	3.17
2026-09-14 15:03:07	2.63	2.46	3.35
2026-09-14 15:12:20	2.61	2.46	3.27
2026-09-14 15:22:48	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 15:33:06	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 15:42:26	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 15:52:53	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 16:02:59	2.58	2.46	3.19
2026-09-14 16:03:00	2.56	2.50	3.29
2026-09-14 16:12:19	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 16:22:57	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 16:32:58	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 16:42:19	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 16:52:42	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 17:02:46	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 17:12:37	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 17:22:52	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 17:33:20	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 17:42:22	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 17:52:40	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 18:03:06	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 18:12:36	2.55	2.51	3.19
2026-09-14 18:12:37	2.60	2.41	3.46
2026-09-14 18:23:15	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 18:34:11	2.55	2.50	3.15
2026-09-14 18:34:12	2.58	2.46	3.37
2026-09-14 18:42:20	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 18:52:52	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 19:03:01	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 19:12:38	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 19:23:27	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 19:33:56	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 19:42:20	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 19:52:21	2.60	2.49	3.10
2026-09-14 19:52:22	2.55	2.48	3.31
2026-09-14 20:02:19	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 20:12:19	2.55	2.49	3.23
2026-09-14 20:12:20	2.65	2.42	3.45
2026-09-14 20:22:22	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 20:32:21	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 20:42:20	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 20:52:22	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 21:02:19	2.58	2.46	3.19
2026-09-14 21:02:20	2.56	2.50	3.29
2026-09-14 21:12:20	2.56	2.48	3.26
2026-09-14 21:22:20	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 21:32:20	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 21:42:19	2.56	2.46	3.22
2026-09-14 21:42:20	2.50	2.54	3.31
2026-09-14 21:52:22	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 22:02:19	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 22:12:20	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 22:22:41	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 22:32:20	2.52	2.50	3.26
2026-09-14 22:32:21	2.55	2.55	3.40
2026-09-14 22:42:20	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 22:52:24	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 23:02:20	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 23:12:21	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 23:22:23	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 23:32:21	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 23:42:21	2.53	2.51	3.27
2026-09-14 23:52:23	2.53	2.51	3.27

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.14	El Geish	0 : 1	Smouha SC
2025.08.10	Smouha SC	1 : 1	El Geish
2025.05.06	Smouha SC	0 : 0	El Geish
2024.11.24	El Geish	0 : 0	Smouha SC