경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Egypt · Regular Season - 4

El MokawloonHOME · 7.90

1 : 12026.09.10 · 종료

Al AhlyAWAY · 1.37

HOME · 현재 순위 14위 승점 3 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 9 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.3%

DRAW21.6%

AWAY57.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +9.7%

VALUE EDGE+9.7%

FAIR ODDS4.68

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 84/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -8.6%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -14.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -3.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

El Mokawloon분석 지표Al Ahly

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.08

0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME11.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승0.0%표본 8경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.2%현재 이동 +5.3%

OPEN → NOW7.50 → 7.90배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

21.3%

DRAW

21.6%

AWAY

57.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

El Mokawloon

W · 0-1L · 2-3L · 1-0W · 3-1D · 2-2

Al Ahly

W · 1-0W · 0-2W · 3-2L · 2-1W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN7.54

→

CURRENT7.50

-0.52%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.01

→

CURRENT4.40

+9.68%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.41

→

CURRENT1.39

-1.77%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 11:52:22	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 12:02:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 12:12:18	7.80	3.91	1.39
2026-09-09 12:12:19	7.42	4.06	1.42
2026-09-09 12:22:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 12:32:19	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 12:42:18	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 12:52:21	7.75	4.00	1.40
2026-09-09 12:52:22	6.83	4.07	1.45
2026-09-09 13:02:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 13:12:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 13:22:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 13:32:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 13:42:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 13:52:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 14:02:18	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 14:12:18	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 14:22:22	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 14:32:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 14:42:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 14:52:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 15:02:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 15:12:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 15:22:22	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 15:32:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 15:42:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 15:52:21	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 16:02:20	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 16:12:19	7.54	4.01	1.41
2026-09-09 16:22:21	8.03	4.08	1.37
2026-09-09 16:22:22	8.01	4.24	1.38
2026-09-09 16:32:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 16:42:21	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 16:52:22	8.06	4.13	1.38
2026-09-09 16:52:23	7.91	4.33	1.37
2026-09-09 17:02:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 17:12:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 17:22:23	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 17:32:22	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 17:42:19	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 17:52:23	8.03	4.08	1.37
2026-09-09 17:52:24	8.01	4.24	1.38
2026-09-09 18:02:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 18:12:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 18:22:23	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 18:32:21	8.00	4.10	1.39
2026-09-09 18:32:22	8.02	4.21	1.37
2026-09-09 18:42:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 18:52:23	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 19:02:22	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 19:12:20	8.02	4.19	1.38
2026-09-09 19:22:23	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 19:32:21	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 19:42:20	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 19:52:23	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 20:02:19	8.30	4.17	1.37
2026-09-09 20:02:20	8.11	4.40	1.37
2026-09-09 20:12:19	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 20:22:22	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 20:32:21	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 20:42:20	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 21:02:22	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 21:12:19	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 21:22:22	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 21:32:22	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 21:42:19	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 21:52:23	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 22:02:22	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 22:12:20	8.23	4.26	1.37
2026-09-09 22:22:23	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 22:32:22	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 22:42:21	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 22:52:23	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 23:02:22	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 23:12:21	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 23:22:22	8.02	4.15	1.37
2026-09-09 23:22:23	7.98	4.36	1.38
2026-09-09 23:32:23	8.00	4.23	1.37
2026-09-09 23:42:22	8.09	4.20	1.37
2026-09-09 23:42:23	7.50	4.40	1.39

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.10	El Mokawloon	1 : 1	Al Ahly
2026.03.06	El Mokawloon	1 : 3	Al Ahly