경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Frauen Bundesliga Germany · Regular Season - 5

SC Freiburg WHOME · 4.25

1 : 22026.09.20 · 종료

Bayer Leverkusen WAWAY · 1.60

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 7 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 6 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.5%

DRAW22.8%

AWAY55.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +0.3%

VALUE EDGE+0.3%

FAIR ODDS4.65

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 85/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -14.2%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -5.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +2.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

SC Freiburg W분석 지표Bayer Leverkusen W

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.33

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 100.0%

6.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.2 / 15

예측 분리도14.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승24.4%표본 45경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승38.3%현재 이동 +10.2%

OPEN → NOW3.86 → 4.25배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:42:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

21.5%

DRAW

22.8%

AWAY

55.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

SC Freiburg W

W · 3-0L · 4-1W · 1-0D · 1-1D · 1-1

Bayer Leverkusen W

L · 2-3W · 1-2L · 1-2W · 0-2L · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.83

→

CURRENT4.27

+11.45%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.75

→

CURRENT3.96

+5.51%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.67

→

CURRENT1.59

-4.45%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-20 00:23:38	3.83	3.75	1.67
2026-09-20 00:53:34	3.83	3.75	1.67
2026-09-20 01:23:41	3.80	3.68	1.65
2026-09-20 01:23:42	3.88	3.90	1.71
2026-09-20 01:32:03	3.85	3.70	1.68
2026-09-20 01:32:04	3.78	3.77	1.67
2026-09-20 02:02:04	3.80	3.75	1.67
2026-09-20 02:32:03	3.80	3.50	1.70
2026-09-20 02:32:04	3.80	3.79	1.67
2026-09-20 03:02:06	3.80	3.75	1.67
2026-09-20 03:32:07	3.77	3.72	1.67
2026-09-20 03:32:08	3.95	3.88	1.67
2026-09-20 04:02:05	3.77	3.67	1.66
2026-09-20 04:02:06	3.88	3.90	1.71
2026-09-20 04:32:04	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 05:02:04	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 05:32:05	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 06:02:05	4.28	3.95	1.58
2026-09-20 06:02:06	4.32	3.98	1.57
2026-09-20 06:32:05	4.31	4.01	1.58
2026-09-20 06:32:06	4.30	3.92	1.57
2026-09-20 07:02:05	4.20	3.88	1.61
2026-09-20 07:02:06	4.34	4.00	1.56
2026-09-20 07:32:05	4.20	3.88	1.61
2026-09-20 07:32:06	4.31	3.98	1.55
2026-09-20 07:32:07	4.40	4.03	1.58
2026-09-20 08:12:04	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 08:52:03	4.28	3.95	1.58
2026-09-20 08:52:04	4.32	3.98	1.57
2026-09-20 09:32:04	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 10:12:02	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 10:52:03	4.20	3.88	1.61
2026-09-20 10:52:04	4.34	4.00	1.56
2026-09-20 11:32:04	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 12:12:02	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 12:52:04	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 13:32:04	4.25	3.91	1.56
2026-09-20 13:32:05	4.40	4.06	1.59
2026-09-20 14:12:02	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 14:52:03	4.20	3.88	1.61
2026-09-20 14:52:04	4.34	4.00	1.56
2026-09-20 15:32:03	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 16:02:07	4.20	3.88	1.61
2026-09-20 16:02:08	4.34	4.00	1.56
2026-09-20 16:32:08	4.28	3.93	1.59
2026-09-20 16:32:09	4.31	3.95	1.57
2026-09-20 17:02:05	4.20	3.75	1.62
2026-09-20 17:02:06	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 17:32:10	4.30	3.94	1.58
2026-09-20 18:02:09	4.20	3.88	1.61
2026-09-20 18:02:10	4.33	3.96	1.57
2026-09-20 18:32:19	4.28	3.93	1.59
2026-09-20 18:32:20	4.31	3.95	1.57
2026-09-20 19:12:09	4.20	3.75	1.62
2026-09-20 19:12:10	4.32	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 19:12:11	4.30	3.95	1.60
2026-09-20 19:52:17	4.31	4.00	1.58
2026-09-20 19:52:18	4.29	3.88	1.58
2026-09-20 20:32:10	4.20	3.75	1.62
2026-09-20 20:32:11	4.31	3.97	1.57
2026-09-20 21:12:07	4.30	3.94	1.58
2026-09-20 21:42:14	4.23	3.88	1.57
2026-09-20 21:42:15	4.41	4.04	1.59
2026-09-20 22:12:10	4.28	3.93	1.59
2026-09-20 22:12:11	4.31	3.95	1.57
2026-09-20 22:42:22	4.23	3.91	1.57
2026-09-20 22:42:23	4.27	3.96	1.59
2026-09-20 23:12:04	4.25	3.93	1.58
2026-09-20 23:42:16	4.23	3.91	1.57
2026-09-20 23:42:17	4.27	3.96	1.59

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.20	SC Freiburg W	1 : 2	Bayer Leverkusen W
2026.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen W	4 : 1	SC Freiburg W
2025.11.11	SC Freiburg W	2 : 1	Bayer Leverkusen W
2024.12.14	Bayer Leverkusen W	2 : 0	SC Freiburg W
2024.08.31	SC Freiburg W	2 : 3	Bayer Leverkusen W