경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
2. Bundesliga
Germany · Regular Season - 6
Arminia BielefeldHOME · 2.05
2 : 22026.09.20 · 종료
1. FC HeidenheimAWAY · 3.22
HOME · 현재 순위
14위
승점 4
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 12
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.2%
DRAW20.5%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.5%표본 204경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.4%현재 이동 -2.4%
OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:34:31
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Arminia BielefeldL · 2-1D · 2-2L · 4-1D · 2-2W · 3-0
1. FC HeidenheimW · 1-0W · 0-1W · 5-3L · 5-2L · 2-4
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME60 SNAPSHOTS
-2.89%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW60 SNAPSHOTS
+1.27%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY60 SNAPSHOTS
+5.07%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 12:15:34 | 2.12 | 3.59 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-20 00:23:11 | 2.13 | 3.54 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 00:23:12 | 2.15 | 3.66 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-20 00:53:03 | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-20 01:23:11 | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-20 01:53:01 | 2.13 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 01:53:02 | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-20 01:53:32 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 02:22:59 | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-20 02:23:28 | 2.12 | 3.58 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 02:23:29 | 2.19 | 3.68 | 3.07 |
| 2026-09-20 02:53:37 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:59 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 03:53:05 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 04:23:22 | 2.13 | 3.54 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 04:23:23 | 2.16 | 3.68 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 04:53:19 | 2.15 | 3.59 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 05:23:06 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 05:23:07 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:46 | 2.14 | 3.63 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:47 | 2.17 | 3.52 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:52 | 2.14 | 3.63 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:53 | 2.17 | 3.52 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-20 06:53:33 | 2.15 | 3.59 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 07:24:06 | 2.15 | 3.59 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 08:02:40 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:56 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 09:23:21 | 2.12 | 3.60 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-20 09:23:22 | 2.18 | 3.59 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:41 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 10:43:06 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:51 | 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:52 | 2.17 | 3.54 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:28 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:58 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 13:23:03 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:30 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 14:43:27 | 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 14:43:28 | 2.17 | 3.54 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:58 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:59 | 2.16 | 3.64 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-20 15:53:30 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-20 15:53:31 | 2.16 | 3.64 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:52 | 2.15 | 3.61 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-20 16:53:26 | 2.07 | 3.66 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-20 17:24:35 | 2.06 | 3.66 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-20 17:24:36 | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:36 | 2.07 | 3.66 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-20 18:24:27 | 2.08 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| 2026-09-20 18:24:28 | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-20 19:04:23 | 2.07 | 3.66 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-20 19:44:03 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 20:23:54 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 21:03:51 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:42 | 2.05 | 3.63 | 3.19 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:43 | 2.09 | 3.66 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-20 22:03:35 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 22:34:14 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 23:03:18 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 23:34:31 | 2.06 | 3.63 | 3.20 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 : 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim |