LIVE 31 오늘 1,059경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

2. Bundesliga Germany · Regular Season - 4
Holstein KielHOME · 2.10
2 : 22026.09.05 · 종료
1. FC NürnbergAWAY · 3.12
HOME · 현재 순위 17위 승점 2 · 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 9 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.4%
DRAW17.1%
AWAY66.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +36.7%
VALUE EDGE+36.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -7.9%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -19.9%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
H2H AWAY -50.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE
Holstein Kiel분석 지표1. FC Nürnberg
25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%
1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.83
1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33
50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%
6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.7일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지18.1 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본5.5 / 10
모델 일치도5.7 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승43.7%표본 245경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승60.0%표본 5경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.6%현재 이동 -10.3%
OPEN → NOW2.34 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:52:46

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
16.4%
DRAW
17.1%
AWAY
66.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Holstein Kiel
L · 2-0W · 0-2D · 2-2D · 2-2L · 3-1
1. FC Nürnberg
W · 4-1D · 1-1W · 2-4W · 3-0W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+18.0%+9.0%0.0%-9.0%-18.0%09/04 06:1509/05 10:3209/05 15:1209/05 19:5209/05 23:52HOME · 배당 2.35 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:29HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.99% · 2026-09-04 18:15:35HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.72% · 2026-09-05 00:22:38HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 06:32:10HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 07:12:09HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 07:52:11HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 08:32:10HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 09:12:10HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 09:52:11HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 10:32:12HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 11:12:30HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 11:52:21HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 12:32:24HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-09-05 13:12:39HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +1.24% · 2026-09-05 13:12:40HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 13:52:26HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 14:32:20HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-05 15:12:32HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -7.10% · 2026-09-05 15:52:28HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -5.99% · 2026-09-05 15:52:29HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.91% · 2026-09-05 16:32:47HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.91% · 2026-09-05 17:12:28HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.91% · 2026-09-05 17:52:25HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -7.48% · 2026-09-05 18:33:09HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -6.52% · 2026-09-05 18:33:10HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.84% · 2026-09-05 19:12:24HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.84% · 2026-09-05 19:52:34HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.84% · 2026-09-05 20:32:16HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -6.84% · 2026-09-05 21:12:45HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -10.95% · 2026-09-05 21:52:28HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -10.67% · 2026-09-05 22:32:53HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -11.01% · 2026-09-05 22:32:54HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -10.95% · 2026-09-05 23:12:31HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 -11.38% · 2026-09-05 23:52:45HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -10.53% · 2026-09-05 23:52:46DRAW · 배당 3.49 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:29DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +1.31% · 2026-09-04 18:15:35DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-09-05 00:22:38DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-05 06:32:10DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-05 07:12:09DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-05 07:52:11DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-05 08:32:10DRAW · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-05 09:12:10DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 09:52:11DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 10:32:12DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 11:12:30DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 11:52:21DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 12:32:24DRAW · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +1.40% · 2026-09-05 13:12:39DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-09-05 13:12:40DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 13:52:26DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 14:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-05 15:12:32DRAW · 배당 3.62 · 변동 +3.64% · 2026-09-05 15:52:28DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +1.74% · 2026-09-05 15:52:29DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 16:32:47DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 17:12:28DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 17:52:25DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-09-05 18:33:09DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +4.82% · 2026-09-05 18:33:10DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 19:12:24DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 19:52:34DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 20:32:16DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-09-05 21:12:45DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.04% · 2026-09-05 21:52:28DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-09-05 22:32:53DRAW · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +5.99% · 2026-09-05 22:32:54DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.04% · 2026-09-05 23:12:31DRAW · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +2.41% · 2026-09-05 23:52:45DRAW · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +7.67% · 2026-09-05 23:52:46AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:29AWAY · 배당 2.77 · 변동 +0.54% · 2026-09-04 18:15:35AWAY · 배당 2.78 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-09-05 00:22:38AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-09-05 06:32:10AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-09-05 07:12:09AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-09-05 07:52:11AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-09-05 08:32:10AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-09-05 09:12:10AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 09:52:11AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 10:32:12AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 11:12:30AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 11:52:21AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 12:32:24AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-05 13:12:39AWAY · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-05 13:12:40AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 13:52:26AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 14:32:20AWAY · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 15:12:32AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +7.34% · 2026-09-05 15:52:28AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +8.79% · 2026-09-05 15:52:29AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +7.59% · 2026-09-05 16:32:47AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +7.59% · 2026-09-05 17:12:28AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +7.59% · 2026-09-05 17:52:25AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 +5.17% · 2026-09-05 18:33:09AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +8.61% · 2026-09-05 18:33:10AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +7.46% · 2026-09-05 19:12:24AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +7.46% · 2026-09-05 19:52:34AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +7.46% · 2026-09-05 20:32:16AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +7.46% · 2026-09-05 21:12:45AWAY · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +13.57% · 2026-09-05 21:52:28AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +8.79% · 2026-09-05 22:32:53AWAY · 배당 3.16 · 변동 +14.52% · 2026-09-05 22:32:54AWAY · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +13.57% · 2026-09-05 23:12:31AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 +12.66% · 2026-09-05 23:52:45AWAY · 배당 3.16 · 변동 +14.48% · 2026-09-05 23:52:46
HOME35 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.35
→
CURRENT2.10
-10.53%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW35 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.49
→
CURRENT3.76
+7.67%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY35 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.76
→
CURRENT3.16
+14.48%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-04 06:15:292.353.492.76
2026-09-04 18:15:352.333.542.77
2026-09-05 00:22:382.333.522.78
2026-09-05 06:32:102.373.512.71
2026-09-05 07:12:092.373.512.71
2026-09-05 07:52:112.373.512.71
2026-09-05 08:32:102.373.512.71
2026-09-05 09:12:102.373.512.71
2026-09-05 09:52:112.373.532.73
2026-09-05 10:32:122.373.532.73
2026-09-05 11:12:302.373.532.73
2026-09-05 11:52:212.373.532.73
2026-09-05 12:32:242.373.532.73
2026-09-05 13:12:392.373.542.73
2026-09-05 13:12:402.383.502.74
2026-09-05 13:52:262.373.532.73
2026-09-05 14:32:202.373.532.73
2026-09-05 15:12:322.373.532.73
2026-09-05 15:52:282.183.622.96
2026-09-05 15:52:292.213.553.00
2026-09-05 16:32:472.193.612.97
2026-09-05 17:12:282.193.612.97
2026-09-05 17:52:252.193.612.97
2026-09-05 18:33:092.183.502.90
2026-09-05 18:33:102.203.663.00
2026-09-05 19:12:242.193.612.96
2026-09-05 19:52:342.193.612.96
2026-09-05 20:32:162.193.612.96
2026-09-05 21:12:452.193.612.96
2026-09-05 21:52:282.093.673.13
2026-09-05 22:32:532.103.503.00
2026-09-05 22:32:542.093.703.16
2026-09-05 23:12:312.093.673.13
2026-09-05 23:52:452.083.573.11
2026-09-05 23:52:462.103.763.16

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.05Holstein Kiel2 : 21. FC Nürnberg
2026.03.14Holstein Kiel2 : 31. FC Nürnberg
2025.10.191. FC Nürnberg1 : 1Holstein Kiel