LIVE 25 오늘 276경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 12
GAP Connah S Quay FCHOME · 1.87
1 : 02026.10.03 · 종료
PenybontAWAY · 3.62
HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 22 · 10경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 24 · 10경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.7%
DRAW29.5%
AWAY21.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +2.5%
VALUE EDGE+2.5%
FAIR ODDS3.39
GRADEC
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 78/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +3.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.7%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
H2H HOME +16.7%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
GAP Connah S Quay FC분석 지표Penybont
66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%
2.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83
0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00
66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.5 / 10
모델 일치도12.4 / 15
예측 분리도8.2 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승43.5%표본 186경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW1.87 → 1.87배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:02:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
48.7%
DRAW
29.5%
AWAY
21.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
GAP Connah S Quay FC
W · 1-4W · 1-0W · 3-0L · 2-1D · 1-1
Penybont
W · 2-1W · 1-5W · 3-2W · 0-1W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%10/03 00:1210/03 03:2210/03 09:0210/03 12:0210/03 15:02HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:04HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:52:06HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:07HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 01:52:14HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 02:22:12HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 02:52:14HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-10-03 03:22:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.82% · 2026-10-03 03:22:14HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-03 03:52:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-03 03:52:14HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 04:22:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 04:52:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 05:22:12HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-03 05:52:14HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-10-03 09:02:16HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-10-03 09:32:14HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-10-03 10:02:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 10:32:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 11:02:14HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 11:32:13HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 12:02:15HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -0.99% · 2026-10-03 12:02:16HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 12:32:14HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 13:02:15HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -0.99% · 2026-10-03 13:02:16HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 13:32:14HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 14:02:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 14:32:13HOME · 배당 1.86 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-10-03 15:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:52:06DRAW · 배당 3.47 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:07DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 01:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 02:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 02:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 -1.85% · 2026-10-03 03:22:13DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-10-03 03:22:14DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-10-03 03:52:13DRAW · 배당 3.39 · 변동 -2.47% · 2026-10-03 03:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 04:22:13DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 04:52:13DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 05:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-03 05:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-10-03 09:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-10-03 09:32:14DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-10-03 10:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 10:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 11:02:14DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 11:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -3.58% · 2026-10-03 12:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -4.11% · 2026-10-03 12:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 12:32:14DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -3.58% · 2026-10-03 13:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -4.11% · 2026-10-03 13:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 13:32:14DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 14:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 14:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -3.99% · 2026-10-03 15:02:15AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:52:06AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:07AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 01:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 02:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 02:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.08% · 2026-10-03 03:22:13AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-10-03 03:22:14AWAY · 배당 3.75 · 변동 +0.81% · 2026-10-03 03:52:13AWAY · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.73% · 2026-10-03 03:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 04:22:13AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 04:52:13AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 05:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.41% · 2026-10-03 05:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-10-03 09:02:16AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-10-03 09:32:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-10-03 10:02:13AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 10:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 11:02:14AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 11:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 -0.54% · 2026-10-03 12:02:15AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -2.53% · 2026-10-03 12:02:16AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 12:32:14AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 -0.54% · 2026-10-03 13:02:15AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -2.53% · 2026-10-03 13:02:16AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 13:32:14AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 14:02:13AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 14:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -2.09% · 2026-10-03 15:02:15
HOME29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.87
→
CURRENT1.86
-0.81%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.47
→
CURRENT3.34
-3.99%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY29 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.72
→
CURRENT3.64
-2.09%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:12:041.873.473.72
2026-10-03 00:52:061.873.473.72
2026-10-03 01:22:071.873.473.72
2026-10-03 01:52:141.863.403.67
2026-10-03 02:22:121.863.403.67
2026-10-03 02:52:141.863.403.67
2026-10-03 03:22:131.863.413.64
2026-10-03 03:22:141.863.403.69
2026-10-03 03:52:131.853.503.75
2026-10-03 03:52:141.863.393.66
2026-10-03 04:22:131.863.403.67
2026-10-03 04:52:131.863.403.67
2026-10-03 05:22:121.863.403.67
2026-10-03 05:52:141.863.403.67
2026-10-03 09:02:161.853.423.67
2026-10-03 09:32:141.853.423.67
2026-10-03 10:02:131.853.423.67
2026-10-03 10:32:131.863.343.64
2026-10-03 11:02:141.863.343.64
2026-10-03 11:32:131.863.343.64
2026-10-03 12:02:151.873.353.70
2026-10-03 12:02:161.853.333.63
2026-10-03 12:32:141.863.343.64
2026-10-03 13:02:151.873.353.70
2026-10-03 13:02:161.853.333.63
2026-10-03 13:32:141.863.343.64
2026-10-03 14:02:131.863.343.64
2026-10-03 14:32:131.863.343.64
2026-10-03 15:02:151.863.343.64

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.03GAP Connah S Quay FC1 : 0Penybont
2026.03.21GAP Connah S Quay FC2 : 1Penybont
2026.02.14Penybont0 : 0GAP Connah S Quay FC
2025.11.09GAP Connah S Quay FC4 : 0Penybont
2025.08.30Penybont0 : 1GAP Connah S Quay FC
2025.01.04Penybont1 : 0GAP Connah S Quay FC
2024.09.15GAP Connah S Quay FC0 : 1Penybont