LIVE 25 오늘 276경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 12
Caernarfon TownHOME · 1.50
0 : 12026.10.03 · 종료
Barry TownAWAY · 5.00
HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 22 · 10경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 22 · 10경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.6%
DRAW18.5%
AWAY53.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 40.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +35.6%
VALUE EDGE+35.6%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -11.4%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -25.0%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.4%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
H2H HOME +14.3%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Caernarfon Town분석 지표Barry Town
58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%
2.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.17
1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75
60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.5 / 10
모델 일치도5.7 / 15
예측 분리도11.3 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME60.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승57.5%표본 106경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -2.0%
OPEN → NOW1.53 → 1.50배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:02:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
27.6%
DRAW
18.5%
AWAY
53.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Caernarfon Town
D · 2-2W · 9-1D · 1-1W · 0-5W · 3-0
Barry Town
L · 1-4L · 5-2D · 2-2W · 4-1L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+10.0%+5.0%0.0%-5.0%-10.0%10/03 00:1210/03 02:5210/03 09:0210/03 12:0210/03 15:02HOME · 배당 1.52 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:04HOME · 배당 1.52 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-10-03 00:52:05HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-10-03 00:52:06HOME · 배당 1.52 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:07HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 01:52:14HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 02:22:12HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 02:52:14HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 03:22:13HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 03:52:13HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 04:22:13HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 04:52:13HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 05:22:12HOME · 배당 1.51 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-03 05:52:14HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 -4.05% · 2026-10-03 09:02:16HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 -4.05% · 2026-10-03 09:32:14HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 -4.05% · 2026-10-03 10:02:13HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 10:32:13HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 11:02:14HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 11:32:13HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 12:02:15HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 12:32:14HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 13:02:15HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 13:32:14HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 14:02:13HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 14:32:13HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-10-03 15:02:15DRAW · 배당 4.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:04DRAW · 배당 4.40 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-10-03 00:52:05DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.95% · 2026-10-03 00:52:06DRAW · 배당 4.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:07DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 01:52:14DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 02:22:12DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 02:52:14DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 03:22:13DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 03:52:13DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 04:22:13DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 04:52:13DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 05:22:12DRAW · 배당 4.30 · 변동 -1.93% · 2026-10-03 05:52:14DRAW · 배당 4.38 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-10-03 09:02:16DRAW · 배당 4.38 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-10-03 09:32:14DRAW · 배당 4.38 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-10-03 10:02:13DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 10:32:13DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 11:02:14DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 11:32:13DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 12:02:15DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 12:32:14DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 13:02:15DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 13:32:14DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 14:02:13DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 14:32:13DRAW · 배당 4.31 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-10-03 15:02:15AWAY · 배당 4.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:04AWAY · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-10-03 00:52:05AWAY · 배당 4.65 · 변동 -3.58% · 2026-10-03 00:52:06AWAY · 배당 4.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:07AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 01:52:14AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 02:22:12AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 02:52:14AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 03:22:13AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 03:52:13AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 04:22:13AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 04:52:13AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 05:22:12AWAY · 배당 4.74 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-10-03 05:52:14AWAY · 배당 5.18 · 변동 +7.38% · 2026-10-03 09:02:16AWAY · 배당 5.18 · 변동 +7.38% · 2026-10-03 09:32:14AWAY · 배당 5.18 · 변동 +7.38% · 2026-10-03 10:02:13AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 10:32:13AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 11:02:14AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 11:32:13AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 12:02:15AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 12:32:14AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 13:02:15AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 13:32:14AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 14:02:13AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 14:32:13AWAY · 배당 4.97 · 변동 +3.03% · 2026-10-03 15:02:15
HOME26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.52
→
CURRENT1.47
-3.27%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.39
→
CURRENT4.31
-1.70%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.82
→
CURRENT4.97
+3.03%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:12:041.524.394.82
2026-10-03 00:52:051.524.404.85
2026-10-03 00:52:061.534.304.65
2026-10-03 01:22:071.524.394.82
2026-10-03 01:52:141.514.304.74
2026-10-03 02:22:121.514.304.74
2026-10-03 02:52:141.514.304.74
2026-10-03 03:22:131.514.304.74
2026-10-03 03:52:131.514.304.74
2026-10-03 04:22:131.514.304.74
2026-10-03 04:52:131.514.304.74
2026-10-03 05:22:121.514.304.74
2026-10-03 05:52:141.514.304.74
2026-10-03 09:02:161.464.385.18
2026-10-03 09:32:141.464.385.18
2026-10-03 10:02:131.464.385.18
2026-10-03 10:32:131.474.314.97
2026-10-03 11:02:141.474.314.97
2026-10-03 11:32:131.474.314.97
2026-10-03 12:02:151.474.314.97
2026-10-03 12:32:141.474.314.97
2026-10-03 13:02:151.474.314.97
2026-10-03 13:32:141.474.314.97
2026-10-03 14:02:131.474.314.97
2026-10-03 14:32:131.474.314.97
2026-10-03 15:02:151.474.314.97

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.03Caernarfon Town0 : 1Barry Town
2026.03.21Barry Town2 : 1Caernarfon Town
2026.02.14Caernarfon Town0 : 2Barry Town
2025.10.11Barry Town2 : 2Caernarfon Town
2025.09.07Caernarfon Town3 : 1Barry Town
2025.04.26Caernarfon Town5 : 2Barry Town
2024.12.14Caernarfon Town3 : 2Barry Town
2024.09.21Barry Town1 : 1Caernarfon Town