경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 11

Cardiff METHOME · 3.18

2 : 22026.09.26 · 종료

Caernarfon TownAWAY · 1.91

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 14 · 9경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 3위 승점 22 · 10경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.1%

DRAW22.7%

AWAY51.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +4.0%

VALUE EDGE+4.0%

FAIR ODDS1.95

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 81/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -9.8%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -5.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -24.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -5.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Cardiff MET분석 지표Caernarfon Town

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.75

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

7.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.0 / 15

예측 분리도10.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승29.2%표본 65경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -10.2%

OPEN → NOW3.54 → 3.18배당 업데이트 2026-09-26 23:42:47

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

26.1%

DRAW

22.7%

AWAY

51.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Cardiff MET

L · 1-0D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 0-5W · 3-0

Caernarfon Town

W · 9-1D · 1-1W · 0-5W · 3-0L · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME65 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.51

→

CURRENT3.15

-10.06%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW65 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.76

→

CURRENT3.69

-1.89%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY65 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.82

→

CURRENT1.89

+4.04%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-25 00:15:32	3.51	3.76	1.82
2026-09-26 00:22:06	3.26	3.68	1.86
2026-09-26 00:42:05	3.26	3.68	1.86
2026-09-26 01:02:04	3.26	3.68	1.86
2026-09-26 01:22:16	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 01:42:13	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 02:02:10	3.00	3.80	1.95
2026-09-26 02:02:11	3.26	3.69	1.84
2026-09-26 02:22:16	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 02:42:13	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 03:02:11	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 03:22:11	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 03:42:10	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 04:02:11	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 04:22:11	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 04:52:12	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 05:22:10	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 05:52:11	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 06:22:13	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 06:52:13	3.21	3.71	1.86
2026-09-26 07:22:11	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 07:52:12	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 08:22:13	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 08:52:14	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 09:22:12	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 09:52:11	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 10:22:11	3.23	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 10:52:13	3.23	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 11:22:13	3.23	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 11:52:12	3.23	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 12:22:14	3.23	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 12:52:11	3.23	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 13:22:12	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 13:52:14	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 14:22:12	3.18	3.68	1.85
2026-09-26 14:22:13	3.31	3.85	1.89
2026-09-26 14:52:10	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 15:22:12	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 15:42:11	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 16:02:12	3.22	3.73	1.86
2026-09-26 17:22:19	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 17:42:14	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 18:02:15	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 18:32:16	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 19:02:15	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 19:33:48	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 20:03:37	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 20:32:55	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 21:03:36	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 21:23:48	3.16	3.80	1.87
2026-09-26 21:23:49	3.15	3.70	1.87
2026-09-26 21:43:03	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 22:03:21	3.16	3.73	1.87
2026-09-26 22:23:37	3.08	3.68	1.86
2026-09-26 22:23:38	3.31	3.85	1.89
2026-09-26 22:23:40	3.18	3.77	1.90
2026-09-26 22:23:41	3.14	3.64	1.89
2026-09-26 22:43:28	3.16	3.80	1.87
2026-09-26 22:43:29	3.15	3.70	1.87
2026-09-26 22:43:32	3.15	3.69	1.89
2026-09-26 23:03:22	3.08	3.68	1.86
2026-09-26 23:03:23	3.31	3.85	1.89
2026-09-26 23:03:26	3.15	3.69	1.89
2026-09-26 23:23:09	3.15	3.69	1.89
2026-09-26 23:42:47	3.15	3.69	1.89

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.26	Cardiff MET	2 : 2	Caernarfon Town
2025.09.28	Caernarfon Town	0 : 3	Cardiff MET
2025.08.09	Cardiff MET	2 : 2	Caernarfon Town
2025.05.12	Caernarfon Town	0 : 0	Cardiff MET
2025.04.19	Caernarfon Town	2 : 1	Cardiff MET
2025.03.08	Cardiff MET	4 : 2	Caernarfon Town
2024.10.05	Cardiff MET	1 : 2	Caernarfon Town
2024.08.31	Caernarfon Town	1 : 2	Cardiff MET