경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 9

HolywellHOME · 8.00

0 : 52026.09.16 · 종료

Colwyn BayAWAY · 1.30

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 1 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 13 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.1%

DRAW21.6%

AWAY26.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +40.7%

VALUE EDGE+40.7%

FAIR ODDS1.92

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +12.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -32.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Holywell분석 지표Colwyn Bay

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

2.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

79/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도3.6 / 15

예측 분리도11.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME11.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승6.3%표본 16경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승14.3%현재 이동 +55.6%

OPEN → NOW5.14 → 8.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

52.1%

DRAW

21.6%

AWAY

26.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Holywell

L · 2-1D · 1-1L · 6-2L · 3-5L · 1-3

Colwyn Bay

W · 2-1L · 1-0W · 2-0L · 5-1W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN8.01

→

CURRENT7.60

-5.22%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.78

→

CURRENT4.69

-1.89%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.29

→

CURRENT1.30

+0.79%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:02:09	8.01	4.78	1.29
2026-09-15 11:12:10	8.01	4.78	1.29
2026-09-15 11:22:11	8.01	4.78	1.29
2026-09-15 11:32:10	8.01	4.78	1.29
2026-09-15 11:42:09	8.01	4.78	1.29
2026-09-15 11:52:10	8.01	4.78	1.29
2026-09-15 12:02:09	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 12:12:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 12:22:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 12:32:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 12:42:08	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 12:52:09	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 13:02:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 13:12:09	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 13:22:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 13:32:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 13:42:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 13:52:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 14:02:09	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 14:12:09	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 14:22:11	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 14:32:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 14:42:10	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 14:52:11	8.09	4.87	1.27
2026-09-15 15:02:09	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 15:12:09	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 15:22:11	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 15:32:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 15:42:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 15:52:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 16:02:09	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 16:12:09	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 16:22:11	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 16:32:11	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 16:42:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 16:52:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 17:02:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 17:12:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 17:22:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 17:32:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 17:42:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 17:52:10	8.13	4.89	1.27
2026-09-15 18:02:11	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 18:12:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 18:22:11	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 18:32:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 18:42:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 18:52:11	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 19:02:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 19:12:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 19:22:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 19:32:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 19:42:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 19:52:10	7.90	4.60	1.28
2026-09-15 19:52:11	7.22	4.81	1.32
2026-09-15 20:02:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 20:12:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 20:22:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 20:32:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 20:42:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 20:52:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 21:02:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 21:12:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 21:22:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 21:32:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 21:42:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 21:52:11	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 22:02:11	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 22:12:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 22:22:12	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 22:32:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 22:42:10	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 22:52:11	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 23:02:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 23:12:14	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 23:22:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 23:32:09	7.60	4.69	1.30
2026-09-15 23:42:10	8.33	4.63	1.30
2026-09-15 23:42:11	7.23	4.72	1.30
2026-09-15 23:52:09	7.60	4.69	1.30

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Holywell	0 : 5	Colwyn Bay