경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 9

PenybontHOME · 1.46

3 : 22026.09.16 · 종료

Briton FerryAWAY · 5.90

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 18 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 7 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.4%

DRAW40.9%

AWAY17.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +17.6%

VALUE EDGE+17.6%

FAIR ODDS2.45

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 76/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +14.0%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -2.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +31.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Penybont분석 지표Briton Ferry

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.75

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.6 / 15

예측 분리도0.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME61.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승73.2%표본 41경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.7%현재 이동 -12.0%

OPEN → NOW1.66 → 1.46배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

41.4%

DRAW

40.9%

AWAY

17.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Penybont

W · 0-1W · 1-0D · 2-2D · 1-1W · 2-1

Briton Ferry

L · 3-1L · 0-2L · 1-4L · 3-0W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.60

→

CURRENT1.47

-8.48%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.63

→

CURRENT3.82

+5.31%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.73

→

CURRENT5.76

+21.88%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:52:10	1.60	3.63	4.73
2026-09-15 12:02:09	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 12:12:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 12:22:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 12:32:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 12:42:09	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 12:52:09	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 13:02:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 13:12:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 13:22:10	1.58	3.63	4.85
2026-09-15 13:22:11	1.56	3.61	4.81
2026-09-15 13:32:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 13:42:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 13:52:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 14:02:09	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 14:12:09	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 14:22:11	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 14:32:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 14:42:10	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 14:52:11	1.57	3.63	4.83
2026-09-15 15:02:09	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 15:12:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 15:22:11	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 15:32:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 15:42:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 15:52:11	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 16:02:09	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 16:12:09	1.50	3.76	5.29
2026-09-15 16:12:10	1.53	3.85	5.30
2026-09-15 16:22:11	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 16:32:11	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 16:42:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 16:52:10	1.52	3.83	5.42
2026-09-15 16:52:11	1.50	3.74	5.23
2026-09-15 17:02:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 17:12:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 17:22:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 17:32:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 17:42:10	1.57	3.75	5.50
2026-09-15 17:42:11	1.50	3.78	5.27
2026-09-15 17:52:10	1.51	3.77	5.29
2026-09-15 18:02:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 18:12:09	1.47	3.90	5.85
2026-09-15 18:12:10	1.47	3.76	5.69
2026-09-15 18:22:12	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 18:32:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 18:42:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 18:52:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 19:02:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 19:12:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 19:22:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 19:32:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 19:42:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 19:52:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 20:02:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 20:12:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 20:22:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 20:32:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 20:42:09	1.46	3.81	5.79
2026-09-15 20:42:10	1.52	3.90	5.50
2026-09-15 20:52:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 21:02:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 21:12:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 21:22:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 21:32:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 21:42:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 21:52:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 22:02:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 22:12:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 22:22:13	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 22:32:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 22:42:10	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 22:52:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 23:02:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 23:12:14	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 23:22:09	1.48	3.87	5.80
2026-09-15 23:22:10	1.46	3.80	5.74
2026-09-15 23:32:09	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 23:42:11	1.47	3.82	5.76
2026-09-15 23:52:09	1.47	3.82	5.76

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Penybont	3 : 2	Briton Ferry
2025.12.26	Penybont	1 : 1	Briton Ferry
2025.10.04	Briton Ferry	0 : 0	Penybont
2024.09.25	Penybont	0 : 1	Briton Ferry
2024.08.12	Briton Ferry	0 : 2	Penybont