경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Premier League
Wales · Regular Season - 8

Colwyn BayHOME · 3.18
2 : 12026.09.13 · 종료
GAP Connah S Quay FCAWAY · 2.05

HOME · 현재 순위
6위
승점 22
· 12경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 28
· 12경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.8%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY34.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승28.9%표본 135경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승39.4%현재 이동 +7.1%
OPEN → NOW2.97 → 3.18배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:52:19
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Colwyn BayL · 1-0W · 2-0L · 5-1W · 1-0L · 3-0
GAP Connah S Quay FCD · 1-1W · 1-2W · 3-0W · 0-2W · 6-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME58 SNAPSHOTS
+7.53%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW58 SNAPSHOTS
-1.36%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY58 SNAPSHOTS
-5.57%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-11 12:15:21 | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-12 00:22:29 | 3.17 | 3.23 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 00:52:29 | 3.14 | 3.22 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-12 01:22:27 | 3.14 | 3.22 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-12 01:52:29 | 3.19 | 3.25 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-12 01:52:30 | 3.09 | 3.19 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 02:22:28 | 3.14 | 3.22 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-12 03:02:25 | 3.19 | 3.25 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-12 03:02:26 | 3.09 | 3.19 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 03:42:25 | 3.13 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 03:42:26 | 3.18 | 3.25 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-12 04:22:30 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 05:02:29 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 05:42:27 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 06:22:30 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-12 06:22:31 | 3.13 | 3.23 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 07:02:26 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 07:42:31 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 08:22:32 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 09:02:31 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 09:42:31 | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 10:23:11 | 3.23 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 10:23:12 | 3.13 | 3.20 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 11:03:54 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-12 11:03:55 | 3.14 | 3.21 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 11:43:18 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 12:23:39 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-12 12:23:40 | 3.14 | 3.21 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 13:12:11 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 13:52:08 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 14:32:08 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 15:12:04 | 3.15 | 3.19 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 15:12:05 | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 15:52:11 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:28 | 3.18 | 3.23 | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:29 | 3.14 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 17:12:20 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:21 | 3.14 | 3.19 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:22 | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:51 | 3.16 | 3.24 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:52 | 3.08 | 3.08 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:53 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:54 | 3.20 | 3.31 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:34 | 3.14 | 3.21 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:35 | 3.17 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 19:52:25 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-12 19:52:26 | 3.14 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 20:32:25 | 3.19 | 3.24 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 20:32:26 | 3.12 | 3.19 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 21:12:20 | 3.16 | 3.24 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 21:12:21 | 3.14 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 21:52:18 | 3.15 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 22:32:30 | 3.18 | 3.24 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 22:32:31 | 3.12 | 3.18 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 23:12:19 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-12 23:12:20 | 3.13 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-12 23:52:18 | 3.12 | 3.17 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-12 23:52:19 | 3.17 | 3.26 | 2.07 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.13 | Colwyn Bay | 2 : 1 | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
| 2026.04.19 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1 : 1 | Colwyn Bay |
| 2026.01.25 | Colwyn Bay | 2 : 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
| 2025.12.06 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2 : 1 | Colwyn Bay |
| 2025.08.11 | Colwyn Bay | 1 : 1 | GAP Connah S Quay FC |