경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 7

HolywellHOME · 2.70

1 : 12026.09.05 · 종료

TrefelinAWAY · 2.21

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 0 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 15위 승점 1 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.8%

DRAW18.8%

AWAY44.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +3.5%

VALUE EDGE+3.5%

FAIR ODDS2.25

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 67/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN -2.0%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -2.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -4.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Holywell분석 지표Trefelin

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 8.3%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.58

3.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.50

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

4.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.2 / 15

예측 분리도3.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME33.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승32.4%표본 136경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -6.6%

OPEN → NOW2.89 → 2.70배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:37

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

36.8%

DRAW

18.8%

AWAY

44.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Holywell

L · 6-2L · 3-5L · 1-3L · 3-1L · 1-3

Trefelin

L · 2-1D · 1-1L · 0-2L · 6-0L · 0-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.91

→

CURRENT2.66

-8.56%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.66

→

CURRENT3.48

-5.02%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.11

→

CURRENT2.23

+5.40%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 00:02:30	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 00:12:25	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 00:22:28	2.94	3.65	2.07
2026-09-04 00:22:29	2.79	3.73	2.28
2026-09-04 00:32:30	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 00:42:26	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 00:52:31	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 01:02:27	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 01:12:39	2.88	3.70	2.05
2026-09-04 01:12:40	2.91	3.66	2.12
2026-09-04 01:22:26	2.91	3.66	2.11
2026-09-04 03:52:34	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 04:12:32	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 04:32:32	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 04:52:35	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 05:12:33	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 05:32:34	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 05:52:34	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 06:12:32	2.86	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 06:12:33	3.20	3.65	2.08
2026-09-04 06:32:35	2.89	3.56	2.11
2026-09-04 06:52:35	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 07:12:35	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 07:32:32	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 07:52:34	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 08:12:34	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 08:32:36	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 08:52:36	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 09:12:34	2.93	3.55	2.08
2026-09-04 09:12:35	2.87	3.55	2.12
2026-09-04 09:32:37	2.89	3.55	2.11
2026-09-04 09:52:35	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 10:12:32	2.88	3.46	2.06
2026-09-04 10:12:33	2.81	3.61	2.22
2026-09-04 10:32:36	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 10:52:34	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 11:12:33	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 11:32:35	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 11:52:34	2.93	3.55	2.08
2026-09-04 11:52:35	2.83	3.50	2.13
2026-09-04 12:12:33	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 12:32:37	2.85	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 12:52:34	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 13:12:35	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 13:32:32	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 13:52:36	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 14:12:32	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 14:32:35	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 14:52:35	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 15:12:34	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 15:32:35	2.86	3.51	2.12
2026-09-04 15:52:36	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 16:12:33	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 16:32:36	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 16:52:35	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 17:12:34	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 17:32:35	2.72	3.59	2.17
2026-09-04 17:32:36	2.70	3.53	2.19
2026-09-04 17:52:37	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 18:12:33	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 18:32:38	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 18:52:37	2.70	3.51	2.15
2026-09-04 18:52:38	2.73	3.63	2.26
2026-09-04 19:12:37	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 19:32:33	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 19:52:37	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 20:12:34	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 20:32:38	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 20:52:36	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 21:12:35	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 21:32:36	2.71	3.55	2.19
2026-09-04 21:52:37	2.69	3.51	2.21
2026-09-04 22:12:36	2.69	3.51	2.21
2026-09-04 22:32:38	2.69	3.51	2.21
2026-09-04 22:52:39	2.85	3.53	2.15
2026-09-04 22:52:40	2.65	3.51	2.22
2026-09-04 23:12:39	2.69	3.51	2.21
2026-09-04 23:32:35	2.69	3.51	2.21
2026-09-04 23:52:36	2.72	3.55	2.18
2026-09-04 23:52:37	2.66	3.48	2.23

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Holywell	1 : 1	Trefelin