경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 7

Caernarfon TownHOME · 1.47

3 : 02026.09.05 · 종료

Flint Town UnitedAWAY · 5.17

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 12 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 1 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.2%

DRAW22.3%

AWAY51.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +34.2%

VALUE EDGE+34.2%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -11.1%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -19.4%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +28.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -10.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Caernarfon Town분석 지표Flint Town United

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

4.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도5.6 / 15

예측 분리도10.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME61.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승63.6%표본 66경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.9%현재 이동 +0.7%

OPEN → NOW1.46 → 1.47배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:36

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

26.2%

DRAW

22.3%

AWAY

51.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Caernarfon Town

L · 2-3W · 3-5W · 0-2W · 3-0L · 1-2

Flint Town United

L · 1-2D · 1-1L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.51

→

CURRENT1.47

-2.59%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.60

→

CURRENT4.19

-8.88%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.40

→

CURRENT5.18

-4.15%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 00:22:28	1.51	4.60	5.40
2026-09-04 00:32:29	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 00:42:25	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 00:52:30	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 01:02:25	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 01:12:38	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 01:22:25	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 01:32:30	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 01:42:28	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 01:52:23	1.49	4.24	5.21
2026-09-04 01:52:24	1.49	4.52	5.42
2026-09-04 02:02:22	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 02:12:27	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 02:22:23	1.49	4.32	5.27
2026-09-04 03:52:33	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 04:12:31	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 04:32:32	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 04:52:35	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 05:12:33	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 05:32:34	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 05:52:34	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 06:12:32	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 06:32:35	1.47	4.26	5.21
2026-09-04 06:52:35	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 07:12:35	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 07:32:32	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 07:52:34	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 08:12:34	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 08:32:36	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 08:52:35	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 09:12:34	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 09:32:36	1.47	4.25	5.24
2026-09-04 09:52:34	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 10:12:32	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 10:32:35	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 10:52:34	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 11:12:33	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 11:32:34	1.46	4.20	5.18
2026-09-04 11:32:35	1.51	4.60	5.40
2026-09-04 11:52:34	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 12:12:33	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 12:32:36	1.46	4.23	5.20
2026-09-04 12:52:33	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 13:12:34	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 13:32:32	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 13:52:35	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 14:12:31	1.46	4.17	5.12
2026-09-04 14:12:32	1.48	4.47	5.38
2026-09-04 14:32:34	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 14:52:35	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 15:12:33	1.46	4.17	5.12
2026-09-04 15:12:34	1.48	4.47	5.38
2026-09-04 15:32:35	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 15:52:36	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 16:12:32	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 16:32:36	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 16:52:34	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 17:12:34	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 17:32:35	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 17:52:37	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 18:12:33	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 18:32:37	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 18:52:37	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 19:12:36	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 19:32:33	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 19:52:36	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 20:12:33	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 20:32:37	1.46	4.16	5.08
2026-09-04 20:32:38	1.48	4.41	5.40
2026-09-04 20:52:35	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 21:12:35	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 21:32:36	1.46	4.24	5.18
2026-09-04 21:52:36	1.48	4.10	5.29
2026-09-04 21:52:37	1.47	4.24	5.12
2026-09-04 22:12:36	1.47	4.19	5.18
2026-09-04 22:32:37	1.47	4.19	5.18
2026-09-04 22:52:39	1.47	4.19	5.18
2026-09-04 23:12:39	1.47	4.19	5.18
2026-09-04 23:32:35	1.47	4.19	5.18
2026-09-04 23:52:36	1.47	4.19	5.18

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Caernarfon Town	3 : 0	Flint Town United
2025.12.06	Caernarfon Town	1 : 1	Flint Town United
2025.08.23	Flint Town United	2 : 5	Caernarfon Town
2025.01.15	Caernarfon Town	3 : 0	Flint Town United
2024.09.26	Flint Town United	1 : 2	Caernarfon Town