경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 6

Caernarfon TownHOME · 5.18

2 : 32026.08.31 · 종료

The New SaintsAWAY · 1.49

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 12 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 13 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME7.9%

DRAW15.3%

AWAY76.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 51.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +16.3%

VALUE EDGE+16.3%

FAIR ODDS1.30

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -22.3%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -30.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -5.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -13.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Caernarfon Town분석 지표The New Saints

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 91.7%

2.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 3.42

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.33

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 80.0%

2.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.4 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME17.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승14.3%표본 21경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.8%현재 이동 -5.8%

OPEN → NOW5.50 → 5.18배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:47

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

7.9%

DRAW

15.3%

AWAY

76.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Caernarfon Town

W · 3-5W · 0-2W · 3-0L · 1-2W · 1-2

The New Saints

W · 5-1W · 0-5W · 1-0W · 2-0D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.94

→

CURRENT5.16

-13.10%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.22

→

CURRENT4.10

-2.78%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.42

→

CURRENT1.49

+4.94%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 12:42:45	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 12:53:15	6.16	4.20	1.41
2026-08-31 12:53:16	5.82	4.23	1.43
2026-08-31 12:53:19	6.07	4.13	1.39
2026-08-31 12:53:20	5.80	4.30	1.45
2026-08-31 13:03:02	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 13:03:05	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 13:12:48	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 13:23:29	6.00	4.17	1.41
2026-08-31 13:23:30	5.60	4.43	1.48
2026-08-31 13:33:19	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 13:42:20	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 13:53:09	6.05	4.18	1.40
2026-08-31 13:53:10	5.78	4.27	1.44
2026-08-31 14:02:45	6.07	4.13	1.39
2026-08-31 14:02:46	5.80	4.30	1.45
2026-08-31 14:12:47	6.05	4.18	1.40
2026-08-31 14:12:48	5.78	4.27	1.44
2026-08-31 14:23:33	6.16	4.20	1.41
2026-08-31 14:23:34	5.82	4.23	1.43
2026-08-31 14:33:14	6.08	4.18	1.41
2026-08-31 14:33:15	5.89	4.23	1.42
2026-08-31 14:42:36	6.01	4.15	1.40
2026-08-31 14:42:37	5.70	4.42	1.47
2026-08-31 14:53:10	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 15:03:01	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 15:12:35	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 15:23:33	6.01	4.15	1.40
2026-08-31 15:23:34	5.70	4.42	1.47
2026-08-31 15:32:56	5.94	4.22	1.42
2026-08-31 15:42:51	6.16	4.20	1.41
2026-08-31 15:42:52	5.82	4.23	1.43
2026-08-31 15:43:01	5.84	4.20	1.42
2026-08-31 15:43:02	5.80	4.50	1.48
2026-08-31 15:53:40	5.88	4.19	1.42
2026-08-31 15:53:41	5.60	4.43	1.48
2026-08-31 16:03:15	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 16:12:59	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 16:24:15	5.79	4.16	1.41
2026-08-31 16:24:16	5.94	4.38	1.46
2026-08-31 16:33:55	5.88	4.19	1.42
2026-08-31 16:33:56	5.60	4.43	1.48
2026-08-31 16:42:43	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 16:53:30	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 17:03:08	6.16	4.20	1.41
2026-08-31 17:03:09	5.69	4.24	1.44
2026-08-31 17:13:11	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 17:23:42	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 17:33:06	6.25	4.10	1.42
2026-08-31 17:33:07	5.76	4.25	1.43
2026-08-31 17:42:56	5.88	4.19	1.42
2026-08-31 17:42:57	5.60	4.43	1.48
2026-08-31 17:53:36	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 18:03:06	5.84	4.22	1.43
2026-08-31 18:23:23	5.97	4.18	1.42
2026-08-31 18:23:24	5.75	4.26	1.43
2026-08-31 18:42:59	5.29	4.04	1.49
2026-08-31 19:03:13	5.29	4.04	1.49
2026-08-31 19:24:03	5.16	3.93	1.49
2026-08-31 19:24:04	5.45	4.16	1.50
2026-08-31 19:43:00	5.29	4.04	1.49
2026-08-31 20:03:11	5.17	3.93	1.53
2026-08-31 20:03:12	5.33	4.07	1.48
2026-08-31 20:23:32	5.30	3.99	1.48
2026-08-31 20:23:33	5.28	4.20	1.53
2026-08-31 20:43:16	5.29	4.04	1.49
2026-08-31 21:03:09	5.25	3.90	1.55
2026-08-31 21:03:10	5.30	4.06	1.48
2026-08-31 21:23:36	5.25	3.90	1.55
2026-08-31 21:23:37	5.30	4.06	1.48
2026-08-31 21:42:59	5.12	4.07	1.48
2026-08-31 21:43:00	5.28	4.20	1.51
2026-08-31 22:03:34	5.16	4.10	1.49
2026-08-31 22:23:39	5.07	4.06	1.48
2026-08-31 22:23:40	5.35	4.18	1.51
2026-08-31 22:43:01	5.16	4.10	1.49
2026-08-31 23:03:39	5.16	4.10	1.49
2026-08-31 23:23:23	4.93	4.07	1.53
2026-08-31 23:23:24	5.23	4.11	1.48
2026-08-31 23:42:47	5.16	4.10	1.49

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Caernarfon Town	2 : 3	The New Saints
2026.03.28	Caernarfon Town	0 : 4	The New Saints
2026.02.21	The New Saints	2 : 1	Caernarfon Town
2025.11.29	The New Saints	2 : 0	Caernarfon Town
2025.10.08	Caernarfon Town	1 : 3	The New Saints
2025.03.12	The New Saints	2 : 0	Caernarfon Town
2025.02.12	Caernarfon Town	0 : 1	The New Saints
2024.12.26	Caernarfon Town	2 : 5	The New Saints
2024.10.10	The New Saints	1 : 2	Caernarfon Town