LIVE 152 오늘 1,947경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Primeira Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 7
NacionalHOME · 3.71
0 : 42026.09.19 · 종료
FamalicaoAWAY · 2.05
HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 4 · 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 7 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.7%
DRAW29.9%
AWAY26.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +18.3%
VALUE EDGE+18.3%
FAIR ODDS2.29
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 88/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM EVEN +0.6%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.7%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Nacional분석 지표Famalicao
16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 8.3%
1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.67
1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.83
28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.8일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지18.9 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.5 / 10
모델 일치도10.1 / 15
예측 분리도5.9 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승10.0%표본 20경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승43.3%현재 이동 +3.6%
OPEN → NOW3.58 → 3.71배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:43:53

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
43.7%
DRAW
29.9%
AWAY
26.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Nacional
L · 1-3L · 2-0L · 2-3L · 1-0W · 2-0
Famalicao
D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 0-0L · 1-0L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%09/18 12:1509/19 05:0309/19 12:2409/19 17:4409/19 23:43HOME · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 12:15:24HOME · 배당 3.59 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-09-19 00:23:56HOME · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-09-19 00:23:57HOME · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 00:53:40HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-19 01:24:15HOME · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-19 01:24:16HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-19 01:53:31HOME · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-19 01:53:32HOME · 배당 3.56 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-09-19 02:24:11HOME · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-09-19 02:24:12HOME · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 02:53:19HOME · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 03:23:33HOME · 배당 3.55 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 03:52:56HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.41% · 2026-09-19 04:23:33HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.61% · 2026-09-19 04:23:34HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.56% · 2026-09-19 05:03:14HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.41% · 2026-09-19 05:43:03HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 +2.82% · 2026-09-19 05:43:04HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-19 06:23:35HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +4.93% · 2026-09-19 06:23:36HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.56% · 2026-09-19 07:02:31HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-19 07:43:48HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +4.93% · 2026-09-19 07:43:49HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.56% · 2026-09-19 08:24:02HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.56% · 2026-09-19 09:02:31HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.56% · 2026-09-19 09:43:33HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.53% · 2026-09-19 10:23:47HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.53% · 2026-09-19 11:02:49HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.53% · 2026-09-19 11:43:31HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.41% · 2026-09-19 12:24:15HOME · 배당 3.61 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-09-19 12:24:16HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-19 13:04:28HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +4.93% · 2026-09-19 13:04:29HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-19 13:43:41HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +4.93% · 2026-09-19 13:43:42HOME · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-19 14:23:25HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +4.93% · 2026-09-19 14:23:26HOME · 배당 3.62 · 변동 +1.88% · 2026-09-19 15:04:37HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-09-19 15:04:38HOME · 배당 3.62 · 변동 +1.88% · 2026-09-19 15:43:19HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-09-19 15:43:20HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-19 16:24:48HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +3.10% · 2026-09-19 17:04:32HOME · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +2.21% · 2026-09-19 17:04:33HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-19 17:44:30HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +3.10% · 2026-09-19 18:25:50HOME · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +2.21% · 2026-09-19 18:25:51HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-19 19:05:12HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-19 19:45:37HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +1.41% · 2026-09-19 20:24:39HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.64% · 2026-09-19 20:24:40HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-09-19 21:04:22HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +2.61% · 2026-09-19 21:04:23HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +3.10% · 2026-09-19 21:44:19HOME · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +2.21% · 2026-09-19 21:44:20HOME · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +5.40% · 2026-09-19 22:25:01HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 +2.82% · 2026-09-19 23:04:45HOME · 배당 3.79 · 변동 +6.69% · 2026-09-19 23:04:46HOME · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +5.40% · 2026-09-19 23:43:53DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 12:15:24DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 00:23:56DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 00:23:57DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 00:53:40DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 01:24:15DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-09-19 01:24:16DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 01:53:31DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-09-19 01:53:32DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-19 02:24:11DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.85% · 2026-09-19 02:24:12DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 02:53:19DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 03:23:33DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 03:52:56DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 04:23:33DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-19 04:23:34DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 05:03:14DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-19 05:43:03DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 05:43:04DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-19 06:23:35DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-19 06:23:36DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 07:02:31DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-19 07:43:48DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-19 07:43:49DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 08:24:02DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 09:02:31DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-19 09:43:33DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-19 10:23:47DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-19 11:02:49DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-19 11:43:31DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 12:24:15DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.56% · 2026-09-19 12:24:16DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-19 13:04:28DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +2.11% · 2026-09-19 13:04:29DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-19 13:43:41DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +2.11% · 2026-09-19 13:43:42DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-19 14:23:25DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +2.11% · 2026-09-19 14:23:26DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.27% · 2026-09-19 15:04:37DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-09-19 15:04:38DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.27% · 2026-09-19 15:43:19DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-09-19 15:43:20DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 16:24:48DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-19 17:04:32DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-19 17:04:33DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 17:44:30DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-19 18:25:50DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-19 18:25:51DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 19:05:12DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-19 19:45:37DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -5.23% · 2026-09-19 20:24:39DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-09-19 20:24:40DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-19 21:04:22DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.26% · 2026-09-19 21:04:23DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-19 21:44:19DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-19 21:44:20DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.02% · 2026-09-19 22:25:01DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-19 23:04:45DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.35% · 2026-09-19 23:04:46DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.02% · 2026-09-19 23:43:53AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 12:15:24AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.18% · 2026-09-19 00:23:56AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 00:23:57AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 00:53:40AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-19 01:24:15AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-09-19 01:24:16AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-19 01:53:31AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-09-19 01:53:32AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-19 02:24:11AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 02:24:12AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 02:53:19AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 03:23:33AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 03:52:56AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-09-19 04:23:33AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-19 04:23:34AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 05:03:14AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-19 05:43:03AWAY · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +2.53% · 2026-09-19 05:43:04AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.21% · 2026-09-19 06:23:35AWAY · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-09-19 06:23:36AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 07:02:31AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.21% · 2026-09-19 07:43:48AWAY · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-09-19 07:43:49AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 08:24:02AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 09:02:31AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-09-19 09:43:33AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-19 10:23:47AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-19 11:02:49AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-19 11:43:31AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-09-19 12:24:15AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -0.03% · 2026-09-19 12:24:16AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-19 13:04:28AWAY · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +2.53% · 2026-09-19 13:04:29AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-19 13:43:41AWAY · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +2.53% · 2026-09-19 13:43:42AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-19 14:23:25AWAY · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +2.53% · 2026-09-19 14:23:26AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 -1.99% · 2026-09-19 15:04:37AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.27% · 2026-09-19 15:04:38AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 -1.99% · 2026-09-19 15:43:19AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.27% · 2026-09-19 15:43:20AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.43% · 2026-09-19 16:24:48AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-19 17:04:32AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-19 17:04:33AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.43% · 2026-09-19 17:44:30AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-19 18:25:50AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-19 18:25:51AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.43% · 2026-09-19 19:05:12AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.43% · 2026-09-19 19:45:37AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-19 20:24:39AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-19 20:24:40AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-09-19 21:04:22AWAY · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +1.07% · 2026-09-19 21:04:23AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-19 21:44:19AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-19 21:44:20AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-19 22:25:01AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-19 23:04:45AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-19 23:04:46AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-19 23:43:53
HOME59 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.55
→
CURRENT3.74
+5.40%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW59 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.27
→
CURRENT3.27
+0.02%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY59 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.07
→
CURRENT2.05
-0.86%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-18 12:15:243.553.272.07
2026-09-19 00:23:563.593.302.04
2026-09-19 00:23:573.533.262.08
2026-09-19 00:53:403.553.272.07
2026-09-19 01:24:153.573.302.06
2026-09-19 01:24:163.533.252.08
2026-09-19 01:53:313.573.302.06
2026-09-19 01:53:323.533.252.08
2026-09-19 02:24:113.563.292.06
2026-09-19 02:24:123.533.242.08
2026-09-19 02:53:193.553.272.07
2026-09-19 03:23:333.553.272.07
2026-09-19 03:52:563.553.272.07
2026-09-19 04:23:333.603.302.03
2026-09-19 04:23:343.613.242.07
2026-09-19 05:03:143.613.252.06
2026-09-19 05:43:033.603.252.05
2026-09-19 05:43:043.653.302.12
2026-09-19 06:23:353.573.232.04
2026-09-19 06:23:363.733.332.13
2026-09-19 07:02:313.613.252.06
2026-09-19 07:43:483.573.232.04
2026-09-19 07:43:493.733.332.13
2026-09-19 08:24:023.613.252.06
2026-09-19 09:02:313.613.252.06
2026-09-19 09:43:333.613.252.06
2026-09-19 10:23:473.603.262.06
2026-09-19 11:02:493.603.262.06
2026-09-19 11:43:313.603.262.06
2026-09-19 12:24:153.603.302.03
2026-09-19 12:24:163.613.252.07
2026-09-19 13:04:283.573.242.04
2026-09-19 13:04:293.733.342.12
2026-09-19 13:43:413.573.242.04
2026-09-19 13:43:423.733.342.12
2026-09-19 14:23:253.573.242.04
2026-09-19 14:23:263.733.342.12
2026-09-19 15:04:373.623.282.03
2026-09-19 15:04:383.603.262.07
2026-09-19 15:43:193.623.282.03
2026-09-19 15:43:203.603.262.07
2026-09-19 16:24:483.643.262.06
2026-09-19 17:04:323.663.252.04
2026-09-19 17:04:333.633.262.07
2026-09-19 17:44:303.643.262.06
2026-09-19 18:25:503.663.252.04
2026-09-19 18:25:513.633.262.07
2026-09-19 19:05:123.643.262.06
2026-09-19 19:45:373.643.262.06
2026-09-19 20:24:393.603.102.05
2026-09-19 20:24:403.643.282.06
2026-09-19 21:04:223.643.282.03
2026-09-19 21:04:233.643.232.09
2026-09-19 21:44:193.663.252.04
2026-09-19 21:44:203.633.262.07
2026-09-19 22:25:013.743.272.05
2026-09-19 23:04:453.653.252.05
2026-09-19 23:04:463.793.282.05
2026-09-19 23:43:533.743.272.05

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.19Nacional0 : 4Famalicao
2026.03.22Famalicao1 : 0Nacional
2025.11.02Nacional0 : 1Famalicao
2025.03.02Nacional2 : 1Famalicao
2024.09.29Famalicao0 : 0Nacional