경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primeira Liga
Portugal · Regular Season - 6

Casa PiaHOME · 13.00
1 : 42026.09.13 · 종료
FC PortoAWAY · 1.20

HOME · 현재 순위
18위
승점 1
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
1위
승점 15
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME7.2%
DRAW15.3%
AWAY77.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME7.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승15.4%표본 13경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승33.9%현재 이동 +14.8%
OPEN → NOW11.32 → 13.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:52:17
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Casa PiaD · 0-0L · 0-1L · 2-0L · 0-7L · 1-0
FC PortoL · 0-2W · 2-1W · 0-3W · 2-0W · 0-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME63 SNAPSHOTS
+12.49%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW63 SNAPSHOTS
+12.46%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY63 SNAPSHOTS
-3.08%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-11 12:15:20 | 11.66 | 5.74 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 00:22:28 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 00:52:29 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 01:22:26 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 01:52:29 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 02:22:28 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 03:02:25 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 03:42:25 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 04:22:30 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 05:02:29 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 05:42:27 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 06:22:30 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 07:02:26 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 07:42:31 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 08:22:32 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 09:02:31 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 09:42:31 | 11.28 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 10:23:10 | 11.73 | 5.77 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 11:03:53 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 11:03:54 | 11.83 | 5.82 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 11:12:11 | 11.69 | 5.75 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 11:12:12 | 11.83 | 5.82 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 11:43:17 | 11.26 | 5.64 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 11:43:18 | 13.40 | 6.22 | 1.26 |
| 2026-09-12 11:52:08 | 11.73 | 5.77 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 12:23:38 | 11.73 | 5.77 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 12:32:11 | 11.70 | 5.69 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 12:32:12 | 11.78 | 5.87 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 13:12:09 | 11.73 | 5.77 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 13:52:07 | 11.73 | 5.77 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 14:32:06 | 11.73 | 5.77 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 15:12:03 | 11.70 | 5.69 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 15:12:04 | 11.78 | 5.87 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 15:52:06 | 11.75 | 5.80 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 15:52:07 | 11.72 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-12 15:52:10 | 12.74 | 6.18 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:17 | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:18 | 11.94 | 5.78 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:26 | 11.75 | 6.20 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:27 | 13.24 | 6.17 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 17:12:18 | 12.74 | 6.18 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:18 | 11.00 | 5.80 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:19 | 12.92 | 6.20 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:20 | 13.04 | 6.26 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:46 | 11.00 | 6.15 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:47 | 13.42 | 5.93 | 1.20 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:48 | 13.11 | 6.37 | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:30 | 11.00 | 5.80 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:31 | 12.96 | 6.22 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 19:52:23 | 12.24 | 6.03 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 19:52:24 | 14.50 | 6.68 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 20:32:22 | 11.00 | 6.15 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 20:32:23 | 13.24 | 6.18 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 21:12:19 | 12.24 | 6.03 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 21:12:20 | 14.50 | 6.68 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-12 21:52:16 | 12.31 | 6.15 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 21:52:17 | 13.09 | 6.20 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 22:32:27 | 13.10 | 6.35 | 1.19 |
| 2026-09-12 22:32:28 | 13.10 | 6.60 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-12 23:12:17 | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 |
| 2026-09-12 23:12:18 | 13.11 | 6.46 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 23:52:16 | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 |
| 2026-09-12 23:52:17 | 13.11 | 6.46 | 1.21 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.13 | Casa Pia | 1 : 4 | FC Porto |
| 2026.02.03 | Casa Pia | 2 : 1 | FC Porto |
| 2025.08.25 | FC Porto | 4 : 0 | Casa Pia |
| 2025.04.13 | Casa Pia | 0 : 1 | FC Porto |
| 2024.12.03 | FC Porto | 2 : 0 | Casa Pia |