경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primeira Liga
Portugal · Regular Season - 6

Rio AveHOME · 2.70
3 : 32026.09.15 · 종료
EstrelaAWAY · 2.63

HOME · 현재 순위
16위
승점 3
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
6위
승점 9
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.0%
DRAW24.0%
AWAY38.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME34.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승35.4%표본 99경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.8%현재 이동 -3.6%
OPEN → NOW2.80 → 2.70배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:20
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Rio AveL · 4-0L · 0-4W · 0-2L · 0-2L · 1-0
EstrelaW · 2-1D · 2-2W · 2-3D · 2-2D · 2-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+2.17%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-2.06%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-0.63%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-14 12:52:32 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 13:02:38 | 2.62 | 3.26 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 13:02:39 | 2.61 | 3.23 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 13:12:27 | 2.61 | 3.17 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 13:12:28 | 2.62 | 3.27 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 13:22:46 | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 13:22:47 | 2.61 | 3.26 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 13:32:55 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 13:42:17 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 13:52:32 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 14:02:37 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 14:12:19 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 14:22:37 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 14:32:48 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 14:42:33 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 14:52:52 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 15:02:55 | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-14 15:02:56 | 2.62 | 3.26 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 15:12:16 | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-14 15:12:17 | 2.62 | 3.26 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 15:22:40 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 15:32:53 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 15:42:22 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 15:52:43 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 16:02:49 | 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 16:12:16 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 16:22:46 | 2.65 | 3.13 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-14 16:22:47 | 2.68 | 3.15 | 2.63 |
| 2026-09-14 16:32:47 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 16:42:16 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 16:52:36 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 17:02:38 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 17:12:32 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 17:22:43 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 17:33:08 | 2.65 | 3.13 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-14 17:33:09 | 2.68 | 3.15 | 2.63 |
| 2026-09-14 17:42:18 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 17:52:33 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 18:02:55 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 18:12:30 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 18:22:58 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-14 18:22:59 | 2.69 | 3.11 | 2.61 |
| 2026-09-14 18:33:56 | 2.64 | 3.13 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 18:33:57 | 2.71 | 3.16 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 18:42:17 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 18:52:43 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 19:02:49 | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 19:12:31 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 19:23:07 | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-14 19:23:08 | 2.67 | 3.16 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 19:33:42 | 2.65 | 3.13 | 2.66 |
| 2026-09-14 19:33:43 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.63 |
| 2026-09-14 19:42:17 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 19:52:18 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 20:02:16 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 20:12:16 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 20:22:18 | 2.66 | 3.09 | 2.65 |
| 2026-09-14 20:22:19 | 2.67 | 3.18 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 20:32:18 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 20:42:17 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 20:52:18 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 21:02:16 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 21:12:16 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 21:22:17 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 21:32:17 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 21:42:16 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 21:52:19 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 22:02:16 | 2.66 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 22:12:16 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 22:22:36 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 22:32:17 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 22:42:17 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 22:52:19 | 2.66 | 3.13 | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-14 22:52:20 | 2.68 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 23:02:16 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 23:12:17 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 23:22:19 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 23:32:18 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 23:42:18 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-14 23:52:20 | 2.67 | 3.17 | 2.62 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.15 | Rio Ave | 3 : 3 | Estrela |
| 2026.03.16 | Rio Ave | 2 : 1 | Estrela |
| 2025.10.26 | Estrela | 1 : 2 | Rio Ave |
| 2025.05.06 | Rio Ave | 2 : 0 | Estrela |
| 2024.12.24 | Estrela | 1 : 0 | Rio Ave |