경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primeira Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 3

EstrelaHOME · 5.78

2 : 12026.09.11 · 종료

SC BragaAWAY · 1.59

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 6 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 7 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.2%

DRAW28.5%

AWAY49.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +6.0%

VALUE EDGE+6.0%

FAIR ODDS4.50

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 79/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -12.8%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -4.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Estrela분석 지표SC Braga

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.50

44.4% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.1 / 15

예측 분리도8.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME16.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승8.3%표본 12경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승31.3%현재 이동 +24.2%

OPEN → NOW4.65 → 5.78배당 업데이트 2026-09-10 23:52:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

22.2%

DRAW

28.5%

AWAY

49.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Estrela

D · 2-2W · 2-3D · 2-2D · 2-2W · 4-2

SC Braga

W · 1-2W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 2-0D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.94

→

CURRENT5.77

+16.92%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.70

→

CURRENT3.84

+3.82%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.69

→

CURRENT1.59

-6.17%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 11:22:15	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 11:32:12	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 11:42:12	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 11:52:14	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 12:02:15	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 12:12:13	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 12:22:14	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 12:32:13	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 12:42:11	4.92	3.69	1.69
2026-09-10 12:42:12	4.98	3.72	1.70
2026-09-10 12:52:12	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 13:02:15	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 13:12:12	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 13:22:14	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 13:32:13	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 13:42:11	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 13:52:13	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 14:02:13	4.94	3.70	1.69
2026-09-10 14:12:12	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 14:22:13	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 14:32:13	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 14:42:13	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 14:52:14	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 15:02:15	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 15:12:13	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 15:22:14	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 15:32:14	5.08	3.70	1.67
2026-09-10 15:32:15	5.05	3.75	1.68
2026-09-10 15:42:12	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 15:52:15	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 16:02:14	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 16:12:13	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 16:22:15	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 16:32:14	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 16:42:12	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 16:52:15	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 17:02:14	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 17:12:11	5.07	3.72	1.67
2026-09-10 17:22:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 17:32:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 17:42:12	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 17:52:12	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 18:02:15	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 18:12:13	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 18:22:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 18:32:13	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 18:42:12	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 18:52:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 19:02:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 19:12:12	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 19:22:13	4.70	3.60	1.71
2026-09-10 19:22:14	5.12	3.75	1.67
2026-09-10 19:32:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 19:42:12	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 19:52:14	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 20:02:13	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 20:12:13	5.06	3.72	1.68
2026-09-10 20:22:12	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 20:32:11	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 20:42:10	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 20:52:13	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 21:02:13	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 21:12:11	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 21:22:13	5.03	3.70	1.66
2026-09-10 21:22:14	5.25	3.82	1.65
2026-09-10 21:32:12	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 21:42:11	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 21:52:13	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 22:02:12	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 22:12:11	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 22:22:13	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 22:32:12	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 22:42:10	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 22:52:14	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 23:02:12	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 23:12:12	5.18	3.78	1.66
2026-09-10 23:22:11	5.77	3.84	1.59
2026-09-10 23:32:10	5.77	3.84	1.59
2026-09-10 23:42:12	5.77	3.84	1.59
2026-09-10 23:52:10	5.77	3.84	1.59

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Estrela	2 : 1	SC Braga
2026.05.17	SC Braga	2 : 2	Estrela
2026.01.04	Estrela	3 : 3	SC Braga
2025.01.20	Estrela	0 : 1	SC Braga
2024.08.12	SC Braga	1 : 1	Estrela