경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primeira Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 3

MoreirenseHOME · 15.25

0 : 42026.09.10 · 종료

BenficaAWAY · 1.16

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 4 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 10 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME6.0%

DRAW12.3%

AWAY81.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 55.9% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +0.2%

VALUE EDGE+0.2%

FAIR ODDS8.15

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -26.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -30.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -18.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -18.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Moreirense분석 지표Benfica

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 3.17

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME6.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.1%현재 이동 -4.7%

OPEN → NOW16.00 → 15.25배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

6.0%

DRAW

12.3%

AWAY

81.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Moreirense

L · 2-1W · 0-1L · 4-0D · 2-2L · 2-1

Benfica

W · 0-3W · 2-1W · 1-3W · 3-1W · 0-7

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN14.35

→

CURRENT14.98

+4.38%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN7.20

→

CURRENT7.80

+8.39%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.17

→

CURRENT1.15

-1.00%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 12:22:14	14.35	7.20	1.17
2026-09-09 12:22:15	14.99	7.26	1.17
2026-09-09 12:22:17	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 12:32:15	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 12:42:15	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 12:52:17	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 13:02:15	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 13:12:16	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 13:22:16	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 13:32:16	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 13:42:15	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 13:52:16	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 14:02:14	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 14:12:14	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 14:22:17	14.87	7.30	1.17
2026-09-09 14:32:15	14.75	7.51	1.16
2026-09-09 14:32:16	15.00	7.78	1.18
2026-09-09 14:42:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 14:52:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 15:02:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 15:12:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 15:22:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 15:32:16	14.34	7.36	1.16
2026-09-09 15:32:17	15.70	7.99	1.17
2026-09-09 15:42:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 15:52:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 16:02:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 16:12:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 16:22:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 16:32:15	13.50	7.20	1.17
2026-09-09 16:32:16	14.93	7.62	1.16
2026-09-09 16:42:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 16:52:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 17:02:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 17:12:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 17:22:18	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 17:32:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 17:42:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 17:52:18	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 18:02:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 18:12:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 18:22:18	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 18:32:16	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 18:42:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 18:52:18	14.74	7.50	1.16
2026-09-09 18:52:19	14.93	7.71	1.17
2026-09-09 19:02:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 19:12:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 19:22:18	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 19:32:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 19:42:15	14.75	7.51	1.16
2026-09-09 19:42:16	15.00	7.78	1.18
2026-09-09 19:52:18	14.30	7.44	1.16
2026-09-09 19:52:19	15.11	7.67	1.16
2026-09-09 20:02:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 20:12:15	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 20:22:17	14.82	7.59	1.16
2026-09-09 20:32:16	15.17	7.64	1.16
2026-09-09 20:32:17	14.67	7.87	1.16
2026-09-09 20:42:15	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 21:02:17	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 21:12:15	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 21:22:17	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 21:32:17	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 21:42:15	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 21:52:18	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 22:02:17	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 22:12:15	14.67	7.48	1.16
2026-09-09 22:12:16	15.36	7.84	1.16
2026-09-09 22:22:18	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 22:32:16	15.17	7.64	1.16
2026-09-09 22:32:17	14.67	7.87	1.16
2026-09-09 22:42:16	13.50	7.20	1.17
2026-09-09 22:42:17	15.18	7.72	1.16
2026-09-09 22:52:18	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 23:02:17	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 23:12:16	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 23:22:17	15.06	7.69	1.16
2026-09-09 23:32:18	14.98	7.80	1.15
2026-09-09 23:42:17	14.98	7.80	1.15

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.10	Moreirense	0 : 4	Benfica
2026.04.26	Benfica	4 : 1	Moreirense
2025.12.15	Moreirense	0 : 4	Benfica
2025.02.09	Benfica	3 : 2	Moreirense
2024.08.31	Moreirense	1 : 1	Benfica