경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primeira Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 5

AlvercaHOME · 4.90

1 : 22026.09.06 · 종료

SC BragaAWAY · 1.75

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 8 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 11 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.8%

DRAW28.3%

AWAY53.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +1.2%

VALUE EDGE+1.2%

FAIR ODDS3.54

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 84/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN -1.9%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -5.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Alverca분석 지표SC Braga

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.58

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.5 / 15

예측 분리도11.0 / 15

데이터 신선도8.5 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.8 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승0.0%표본 6경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승35.8%현재 이동 +13.2%

OPEN → NOW4.33 → 4.90배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:52:40

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

17.8%

DRAW

28.3%

AWAY

53.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Alverca

D · 1-1L · 3-1D · 2-2L · 2-0W · 1-0

SC Braga

W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 2-0D · 0-0D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME54 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.33

→

CURRENT4.88

+12.65%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW54 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.48

→

CURRENT3.47

-0.10%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY54 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.81

→

CURRENT1.76

-2.77%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 06:15:28	4.33	3.48	1.81
2026-09-04 18:15:32	4.57	3.51	1.77
2026-09-05 00:22:35	4.58	3.45	1.77
2026-09-05 00:22:36	4.58	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 00:52:41	4.54	3.50	1.77
2026-09-05 00:52:42	4.70	3.63	1.80
2026-09-05 01:22:40	4.57	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 01:52:40	4.57	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 02:22:41	4.57	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 02:52:42	4.57	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 03:22:35	4.57	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 03:32:07	4.61	3.52	1.78
2026-09-05 04:02:06	4.61	3.52	1.78
2026-09-05 04:02:07	4.40	3.40	1.80
2026-09-05 04:02:08	4.68	3.55	1.77
2026-09-05 04:32:07	4.61	3.52	1.78
2026-09-05 04:32:08	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 05:12:07	4.61	3.52	1.78
2026-09-05 05:12:08	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 05:52:06	4.57	3.47	1.77
2026-09-05 05:52:07	4.64	3.56	1.78
2026-09-05 05:52:08	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 06:32:08	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 07:12:07	4.40	3.40	1.80
2026-09-05 07:12:08	4.68	3.55	1.77
2026-09-05 07:52:09	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 08:32:08	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 09:12:08	4.64	3.52	1.77
2026-09-05 09:52:09	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 10:32:10	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 11:12:26	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 11:52:18	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 12:32:21	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 13:12:31	4.50	3.40	1.75
2026-09-05 13:12:32	4.69	3.57	1.76
2026-09-05 13:52:21	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 14:32:17	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 15:12:27	4.66	3.55	1.76
2026-09-05 15:52:25	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 16:32:41	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 17:12:24	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 17:52:22	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 18:32:59	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 19:12:22	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 19:52:30	4.70	3.42	1.80
2026-09-05 20:32:14	4.63	3.37	1.79
2026-09-05 20:32:15	4.76	3.46	1.80
2026-09-05 21:12:41	4.63	3.37	1.79
2026-09-05 21:12:42	4.76	3.46	1.80
2026-09-05 21:52:24	4.88	3.47	1.76
2026-09-05 22:32:45	4.60	3.25	1.80
2026-09-05 22:32:46	4.94	3.52	1.75
2026-09-05 23:12:29	4.88	3.47	1.76
2026-09-05 23:52:40	4.88	3.47	1.76

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Alverca	1 : 2	SC Braga
2026.01.26	SC Braga	5 : 0	Alverca
2025.08.18	Alverca	0 : 3	SC Braga