경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primeira Liga
Portugal · Regular Season - 5

EstorilHOME · 2.45
0 : 02026.09.08 · 종료
AroucaAWAY · 2.85

HOME · 현재 순위
17위
승점 1
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
5위
승점 9
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.3%
DRAW32.6%
AWAY34.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승41.9%표본 124경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승41.1%현재 이동 +5.2%
OPEN → NOW2.33 → 2.45배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:16
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
EstorilL · 2-1L · 0-2L · 2-0D · 1-1D · 1-1
AroucaW · 2-1L · 2-0W · 4-0W · 0-1W · 0-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+2.98%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-0.99%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-4.80%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-07 12:32:10 | 2.36 | 3.38 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-07 12:42:09 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 12:52:12 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 13:02:11 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 13:12:10 | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-07 13:12:11 | 2.35 | 3.35 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-07 13:22:11 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 13:32:10 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 13:42:10 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 13:52:11 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 14:02:10 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 14:12:10 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 14:22:11 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 14:32:12 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 14:42:09 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 14:52:11 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 15:02:11 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 15:12:10 | 2.34 | 3.34 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-07 15:22:12 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 15:32:11 | 2.32 | 3.29 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-07 15:32:12 | 2.33 | 3.40 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-07 15:42:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 15:52:13 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 16:02:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 16:12:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 16:22:12 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 16:32:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 16:42:10 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 16:52:12 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 17:02:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 17:12:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 17:22:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 17:32:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 17:42:11 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 17:52:13 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 18:02:10 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 18:12:10 | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-07 18:22:12 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 18:32:14 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 18:42:14 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 18:52:16 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 19:02:15 | 2.38 | 3.34 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 19:02:16 | 2.44 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-07 19:12:15 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 19:22:18 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 19:32:16 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 19:42:15 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 19:52:17 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 20:02:14 | 2.38 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 20:02:15 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-07 20:12:15 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 20:22:16 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 20:32:15 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 20:42:14 | 2.39 | 3.34 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 20:42:15 | 2.44 | 3.43 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-07 20:52:16 | 2.38 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 20:52:17 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-07 21:02:15 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 21:12:14 | 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 21:22:17 | 2.32 | 3.35 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-07 21:22:18 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-07 21:32:16 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 21:42:16 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 21:52:17 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 22:02:14 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 22:12:16 | 2.41 | 3.32 | 2.82 |
| 2026-09-07 22:12:17 | 2.49 | 3.41 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-07 22:22:18 | 2.39 | 3.33 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 22:22:19 | 2.48 | 3.37 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 22:32:17 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 22:42:16 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 22:52:18 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 23:02:15 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 23:12:16 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 23:22:16 | 2.38 | 3.34 | 2.86 |
| 2026-09-07 23:22:17 | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-07 23:32:16 | 2.38 | 3.34 | 2.86 |
| 2026-09-07 23:32:17 | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-07 23:42:15 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-07 23:52:16 | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.08 | Estoril | 0 : 0 | Arouca |
| 2026.04.07 | Arouca | 3 : 2 | Estoril |
| 2025.11.08 | Estoril | 4 : 3 | Arouca |
| 2025.03.17 | Arouca | 1 : 1 | Estoril |
| 2024.10.26 | Estoril | 4 : 1 | Arouca |