경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primeira Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 5

FC PortoHOME · 1.15

2 : 12026.09.05 · 종료

MoreirenseAWAY · 19.35

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 12 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 4 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME93.4%

DRAW5.5%

AWAY1.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 69.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +10.9%

VALUE EDGE+10.9%

FAIR ODDS1.07

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +66.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +63.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +18.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +24.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

FC Porto분석 지표Moreirense

83.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

0.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME82.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.1%현재 이동 -3.4%

OPEN → NOW1.19 → 1.15배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:36

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

93.4%

DRAW

5.5%

AWAY

1.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Porto

W · 0-3W · 2-0W · 0-2W · 2-0W · 1-0

Moreirense

W · 0-1L · 4-0D · 2-2L · 2-1W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.18

→

CURRENT1.16

-1.86%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.51

→

CURRENT7.52

+15.48%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN15.96

→

CURRENT18.06

+13.15%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:22:25	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 01:32:29	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 01:42:28	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 01:52:23	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 02:02:22	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 02:12:27	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 02:22:23	1.18	6.51	15.96
2026-09-04 03:12:32	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 03:22:34	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 03:32:32	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 03:42:31	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 03:52:32	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 04:12:30	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 04:32:31	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 04:52:33	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 05:12:31	1.18	5.95	19.00
2026-09-04 05:12:32	1.17	6.62	16.77
2026-09-04 05:32:33	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 05:52:32	1.18	6.05	19.00
2026-09-04 05:52:33	1.17	6.65	16.55
2026-09-04 06:12:31	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 06:32:33	1.17	6.27	17.96
2026-09-04 06:32:34	1.18	6.80	16.12
2026-09-04 06:52:34	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 07:12:34	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 07:32:30	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 07:52:32	1.17	6.44	17.41
2026-09-04 07:52:33	1.19	6.90	15.50
2026-09-04 08:12:33	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 08:32:35	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 08:52:34	1.17	6.51	17.11
2026-09-04 09:12:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 09:32:35	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 09:52:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 10:12:31	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 10:32:33	1.17	6.56	18.04
2026-09-04 10:32:34	1.18	6.81	16.10
2026-09-04 10:52:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 11:12:32	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 11:32:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 11:52:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 12:12:32	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 12:32:35	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 12:52:32	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 13:12:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 13:32:31	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 13:52:34	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 14:12:30	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 14:32:33	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 14:52:34	1.17	6.69	17.00
2026-09-04 15:52:35	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 16:12:32	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 16:32:35	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 16:52:34	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 17:12:33	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 17:32:34	1.15	6.99	18.31
2026-09-04 17:32:35	1.18	6.89	15.72
2026-09-04 17:52:36	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 18:12:32	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 18:32:36	1.18	6.25	19.00
2026-09-04 18:32:37	1.16	7.08	17.01
2026-09-04 18:52:36	1.15	6.83	17.40
2026-09-04 18:52:37	1.19	7.24	17.13
2026-09-04 19:12:36	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 19:32:32	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 19:52:36	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 20:12:33	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 20:32:37	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 20:52:35	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 21:12:34	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 21:32:35	1.16	6.95	17.32
2026-09-04 21:52:36	1.15	7.30	18.46
2026-09-04 22:12:35	1.15	7.30	18.46
2026-09-04 22:32:37	1.15	7.30	18.46
2026-09-04 22:52:38	1.17	6.00	23.00
2026-09-04 22:52:39	1.15	7.41	18.08
2026-09-04 23:12:38	1.15	7.30	18.46
2026-09-04 23:32:34	1.15	7.30	18.46
2026-09-04 23:52:35	1.15	6.94	19.10
2026-09-04 23:52:36	1.16	7.52	18.06

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	FC Porto	2 : 1	Moreirense
2026.03.16	FC Porto	3 : 0	Moreirense
2025.10.28	Moreirense	1 : 2	FC Porto
2025.05.03	FC Porto	3 : 1	Moreirense
2024.12.22	Moreirense	0 : 3	FC Porto