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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 Europe · EuroBasket U16 - Final
Lithuania U16HOME · -
77 : 682022.08.21 · 종료
Spain U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Lithuania U16Analysis MetricsSpain U16
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+11.33 Point MarginHigher is better +11.00
142.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.67
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lithuania U16
W · 77-61W · 97-48W · 69-98W · 73-80W · 73-41
Spain U16
W · 64-78W · 68-87W · 96-54W · 86-59W · 74-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.08.21Lithuania U1677 : 68Spain U16
2017.08.18Lithuania U1692 : 80Spain U16
2016.08.21Spain U1674 : 72Lithuania U16