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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 Europe · EuroBasket U16 - 11th place
North Macedonia U16HOME · -
68 : 712022.08.20 · 종료
Poland U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 83/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEB
North Macedonia U16Analysis MetricsPoland U16
54.5% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-2.45 Point MarginHigher is better +1.58
146.45 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.58
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage16.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample9.6 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
North Macedonia U16
W · 64-83L · 82-74L · 86-59L · 48-78W · 62-69
Poland U16
L · 87-69W · 65-80L · 96-54L · 71-59L · 69-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.08.20North Macedonia U1668 : 71Poland U16