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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 Europe · EuroBasket U16 - Quarter-finals
Netherlands U16HOME · -
65 : 802022.08.17 · 종료
Poland U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.3%
VALUE EDGE+51.3%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Netherlands U16Analysis MetricsPoland U16
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +0.58
129.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.08
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Netherlands U16
L · 78-66L · 100-46L · 73-80L · 81-55
Poland U16
L · 96-54L · 71-59L · 69-72W · 54-87W · 66-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.08.17Netherlands U1665 : 80Poland U16