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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U16 Europe
Italy U16HOME · -
78 : 722022.08.16 · 종료
Montenegro U16AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEB
Italy U16Analysis MetricsMontenegro U16
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+7.83 Point MarginHigher is better +8.42
133.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U16
W · 68-71W · 69-72W · 77-51W · 73-47W · 65-53
Montenegro U16
L · 45-79L · 74-66L · 62-69L · 68-75W · 73-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.08.16Italy U1678 : 72Montenegro U16
2017.08.16Italy U1647 : 68Montenegro U16
2016.08.20Montenegro U1675 : 81Italy U16