Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 2
EstoniaHOME · -
65 : 592024.02.27 · 종료
LithuaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
EstoniaAnalysis MetricsLithuania
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.67
154.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Estonia
W · 69-74L · 69-90W · 94-62L · 73-70L · 73-74
Lithuania
W · 83-64W · 87-70W · 64-87L · 73-77L · 92-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.25 | Lithuania | 82 : 75 | Estonia |
| 2024.02.27 | Estonia | 65 : 59 | Lithuania |