Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 1
LithuaniaHOME · -
83 : 642024.02.23 · 종료
PolandAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.9%
VALUE EDGE+52.9%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
LithuaniaAnalysis MetricsPoland
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+6.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
152.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.58
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation2.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lithuania
W · 87-70W · 64-87L · 73-77L · 92-85W · 76-77
Poland
W · 70-80W · 87-72W · 79-87W · 79-64L · 82-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.22 | Poland | 48 : 82 | Lithuania |
| 2024.02.23 | Lithuania | 83 : 64 | Poland |