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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 5
AustriaHOME · -
71 : 852023.08.03 · 종료
BulgariaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.9%
VALUE EDGE+58.9%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
AustriaAnalysis MetricsBulgaria
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-9.75 Point MarginHigher is better +4.83
150.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austria
W · 85-66L · 83-71L · 84-74L · 87-72L · 65-75
Bulgaria
W · 91-69W · 83-71L · 86-80W · 90-82W · 61-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.03Austria71 : 85Bulgaria
2023.07.23Bulgaria83 : 71Austria