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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 4
IrelandHOME · -
61 : 952023.07.29 · 종료
CroatiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.9%
VALUE EDGE+61.9%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
IrelandAnalysis MetricsCroatia
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-7.83 Point MarginHigher is better +10.08
157.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
2.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ireland
W · 76-96L · 89-49L · 82-88L · 92-66L · 83-72
Croatia
W · 98-62W · 89-49W · 84-74W · 56-64L · 79-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.29Ireland61 : 95Croatia
2023.07.20Croatia89 : 49Ireland