Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 3
PortugalHOME · -
88 : 782022.11.11 · 종료
BulgariaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
PortugalAnalysis MetricsBulgaria
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.00
161.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Portugal
W · 102-69W · 59-75L · 96-68W · 84-68W · 80-79
Bulgaria
L · 80-89W · 80-92L · 81-91L · 87-101L · 114-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.27 | Bulgaria | 90 : 82 | Portugal |
| 2022.11.11 | Portugal | 88 : 78 | Bulgaria |