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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 5
RomaniaHOME · -
78 : 672022.07.01 · 종료
LuxembourgAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
RomaniaAnalysis MetricsLuxembourg
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.83
146.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.50
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Romania
W · 101-84W · 70-73L · 88-81L · 71-79L · 94-41
Luxembourg
W · 86-75L · 70-73L · 92-89L · 65-93L · 109-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.07.01Romania78 : 67Luxembourg
2021.11.29Luxembourg70 : 73Romania