Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · EuroBasket - 3rd place
GermanyHOME · -
82 : 692022.09.19 · 종료
PolandAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEB
GermanyAnalysis MetricsPoland
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+11.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
168.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.25
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Germany
L · 91-96W · 107-96W · 85-79W · 71-106L · 80-88
Poland
L · 54-95W · 87-90W · 86-94L · 96-69W · 69-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.19 | Germany | 82 : 69 | Poland |