Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · EuroBasket - Quarter-finals
GermanyHOME · -
107 : 962022.09.14 · 종료
GreeceAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.4%
VALUE EDGE+70.4%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEB
GermanyAnalysis MetricsGreece
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+11.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.83
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.17
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Germany
W · 85-79W · 71-106L · 80-88W · 92-82W · 63-76
Greece
W · 94-88W · 69-90W · 99-79W · 77-93W · 85-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.14 | Germany | 107 : 96 | Greece |
| 2013.08.25 | Germany | 62 : 78 | Greece |
| 2011.08.21 | Germany | 56 : 69 | Greece |