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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe
UkraineHOME · -
86 : 942022.09.11 · 종료
PolandAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.0%
VALUE EDGE+60.0%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEB
UkraineAnalysis MetricsPoland
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
161.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.42
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.6일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukraine
L · 90-85L · 99-79W · 84-73W · 73-74W · 90-61
Poland
L · 96-69W · 69-75W · 85-76L · 89-59W · 99-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.11Ukraine86 : 94Poland