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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe
GermanyHOME · -
85 : 792022.09.11 · 종료
MontenegroAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
GermanyAnalysis MetricsMontenegro
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+11.83 Point MarginHigher is better -1.75
167.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
32.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
67.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Germany
W · 71-106L · 80-88W · 92-82W · 63-76L · 82-75
Montenegro
W · 73-81L · 65-82W · 81-91W · 76-70L · 72-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.21Montenegro76 : 95Germany
2024.02.23Germany85 : 61Montenegro
2022.09.11Germany85 : 79Montenegro
2021.02.23Montenegro82 : 75Germany
2020.11.28Germany74 : 80Montenegro