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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 5
CroatiaHOME · -
90 : 852022.09.08 · 종료
UkraineAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
CroatiaAnalysis MetricsUkraine
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+9.92 Point MarginHigher is better -2.33
173.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation5.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Croatia
L · 81-76W · 73-70W · 65-86L · 85-89W · 84-53
Ukraine
L · 99-79W · 84-73W · 73-74W · 90-61W · 63-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.08Croatia90 : 85Ukraine