Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 4
ItalyHOME · -
81 : 762022.09.07 · 종료
CroatiaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
ItalyAnalysis MetricsCroatia
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.92
155.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.42
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy
L · 84-73L · 85-81W · 83-62L · 87-78W · 92-84
Croatia
W · 73-70W · 65-86L · 85-89W · 84-53W · 69-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.07 | Italy | 81 : 76 | Croatia |